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UCL Institute of Health Informatics

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Laboratory confirmed respiratory infections as vascular triggers

The Problem 

Cardiovascular disease remains the UK’s leading cause of death. Respiratory viruses such as influenza and bacteria such as Streptococcus pneumoniae are common, potentially preventable causes of serious morbidity and mortality in vulnerable groups. 

Influenza and pneumococcal vaccines are available, but under-utilised, especially among clinical risk groups, including people with cardiac disease. Limited data suggest that antivirals used to treat influenza may reduce the risk of adverse coronary events. Establishing the differential role of specific viruses and bacteria on cardiac and vascular events will allow greater mechanistic understanding, potentially leading to investment in developing new therapeutic options, as well as better targeting of existing interventions. 

Our Research

Our earlier work using electronic health records from primary and secondary care found that acute respiratory infections have a transient triggering effect on myocardial infarction (MI), especially among older people. We showed a relationship between influenza circulation and MI hospitalisations and deaths using data from both England & Wales and Hong Kong. Now we are investigating the role of specific laboratory-confirmed respiratory infections ascertained through large national infection surveillance datasets from Public Health England in triggering a range of cardiac and vascular events. We are extending the work internationally using linked health records data from partners in Scotland and Denmark, to inform vaccine and antiviral policy and practice.

Themes 

Public health

Discovery science

Diseases

Infection

Cardiovascular diseases

People 

Charlotte Warren-Gash

Andrew Hayward

Ruth Blackburn

Collaborators (phase 1)

Health Protection Agency

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine 

Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust

University of Hong Kong 

Collaborators (phase 2)

NHS National Services Scotland

Public Health England 

Statens Serum Institute, Denmark

Publications

Warren-Gash C. Influenza and ischaemic heart disease: research challenges and future directions. Heart 2013 Dec; 99(24):1795-6.

Warren-Gash C, Geretti AM, Hamilton G et al. Influenza-like illness in acute myocardial infarction patients during the winter wave of the influenza A H1N1 pandemic in London: a case control study. BMJ Open 2013 May 2;3(5).

Warren-Gash C, Hayward AC, Hemingway H et al. Influenza infection and risk of acute myocardial infarction in England & Wales: a CALIBER self-controlled case series study. J Infect Dis 2012 Dec; 206(11): 1652-9.  

Warren-Gash C, Bhaskaran K, Hayward AC et al. Circulating influenza virus, climatic factors and acute myocardial infarction: a time series study in England & Wales and Hong Kong. J Infect Dis 2011 June; 203(12): 1710-18.

Warren-Gash C, Smeeth L, Hayward AC. Influenza and myocardial infarction. Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther 2010 Feb; 8(2): 143-6

Warren-Gash C, Smeeth L & Hayward AC.  The role of influenza as a trigger for acute myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death: a systematic review. Lancet Infect Dis 2009 Oct; 9(10): 601-610

Podcast with Charlotte Warren-Gash 13/11/2011 (http://www.thenakedscientists.com/HTML/interviews/interview/1865/)