Abstract
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Background
An extensive literature links unemployment to ill-health, but almost no
research has investigated links in terms of systemic inflammation. A
cardiovascular risk factor influenced by psychosocial stress, systemic
inflammation may also be involved in the aetiology of depression, therefore
providing a plausible pathway from the social stressor of unemployment to
both psychological and physical illness. This thesis investigates
associations between unemployment, systemic inflammation, and depressive symptoms
in a contemporary UK context. Methods Cross-sectional associations of
unemployment and inflammatory markers were investigated by pooling data from
the Health Survey for England, Scottish Health Survey, National Child
Development Survey (NCDS), and UK Household Longitudinal Survey (UKHLS) in an
individual-participant meta-analysis. For longitudinal analyses, employment
histories were constructed for NCDS and UKHLS participants spanning 34 and 10
years respectively. Total unemployment in months, number of spells, age at
first unemployment, and recentness of last unemployment were calculated.
Associations were investigated between these summary measures, inflammatory
markers, and depressive symptoms by regression using multiply imputed data.
Mediation was explored by socioeconomic position, health factors, health
behaviours, and current unemployment. Results Current unemployment was
robustly associated with inflammatory markers, but associations varied
considerably by country (stronger outside England) and study population (no
effects in UKHLS). Longitudinally, unemployment did not robustly predict
inflammatory markers, and inflammatory markers did not robustly predict later
depressive symptoms. Aggregated unemployment did predict depressive symptoms,
explained more by socioeconomic position and long-term illness than other
factors. Conclusions Results suggest associations of unemployment and
inflammation may be under certain conditions substantial, but are largely
transitory. Country variation remains unexplained, but stronger associations
in higher-unemployment areas go against a model on which the poorer health of
jobseekers is primarily explained by non-causal selection effects. Results
suggest the influence of inflammation in depressive aetiology is modest
compared to other factors, but that unemployment may have lasting effects on
psychological health.
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