Psychology and Economics of Causal Reasoning

Psychology and Economics of Causal Reasoning

The conference will be held at the Wellcome Collection conference venue. It is enabled by an ERC grant on "Bayesian networks and non-rational expectations"

Conference Programme

Psychology and Economics of Causal Reasoning
UCL, 13-14 September 2019
Conference programme
The conference will be held at the Wellcome Collection conference venue. It is enabled by an ERC grant on "Bayesian networks and non-rational expectations".

Friday, 13 September

 

8:30-9:00         Registration and Arrival Coffee

 

Session 1 (chair: Ran Spiegler)

 

9:00-9:45         Tania Lombrozo (Princeton) "Preferences for Simple and Broad Explanations can Shape Causal Learning"

 

9:45-10:30       Ben Rottman (Pittsburgh) "Personal Causal learning over Weeks"

 

10:30-11:00     Coffee break

 

Session 2 (chair: David Lagnado)

 

11:00-11:45     Ran Spiegler (TAU & UCL) "A Model of Competing Narratives"

 

11:45-12:30     Heidi Thysen (LSE) "Equilibrium contracts with misspecified causal models"

 

12:30-13:15     Lunch break

Session 3 (chair: Florian Zimmerman)

 

13:15-14:00     David Lagnado (UCL) "Assigning Cause and Blame"

 

14:00-14:45     Steven Sloman (Brown) "Limitations of Causal Bayes Nets as Accounts of Human Judgment"

 

14:45-15:15     Coffee break

 

Session 4 (chair: Igancio Esponda)

 

15:15-16:00     Florian Zimmermann (Bonn) "Correlation Neglect and Belief Formation"

 

16:00-16:45     Armin Falk (Bonn) "Improving Survey Evidence: The Role of Limited Self-Knowledge"

 

 

Saturday, 14 September

 

Session 5 (chair: Tobi Gerstenberg)

 

8:30-9:00         Morning Coffee

 

9:00-9:45         Ignacio Esponda (UCSB) "Asymptotic behavior of Bayesian learners in misspecified models"

 

9:45-10:30       Gilat Levy (LSE) "The Drowning out of Moderate Voices: A Maximum Likelihood Approach to Combining Forecasts"

 

10:30-11:00     Coffee break

 

Session 6 (chair: Pablo Schenone)

 

11:00-11:45     Tobi Gerstenberg (Stanford) "Understanding 'why': From Counterfactual Simulations to Explanations"

 

11:45-12:30     Helene Matute (University of Deusto) "Causality Bias"

 

12:30-13:15     Lunch break

 

Session 7 (chair: Tania Lombrozo)

 

13:15-14:00     Pablo Schenone (Arizona) "Causality: A Decision-Theoretic Foundation"

 

14:00-14:45     Erik Eyster (UCSB) "Causal Models, Correlation and Learning"

 

14:45-15:15     General discussion

 

15:15               Close of Conference