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UCL Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering

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Shih-Che Hsu

Spatiotemporal risk assessment of the relationships between outdoor temperature, residential energy use and heat-related cardiovascular mortality: The case study of Great Taipei, Taiwan

An established relationship exists in the literature between adverse health impacts and exposures to extreme high and low outdoor temperature, in particular for individuals suffering from cardiovascular conditions. Taking into consideration that people spend a considerable amount of time inside buildings, large-scale health risk assessment studies based only on external climate factors do not offer a rounded understanding of the environmental or behavioural parameters affecting heat exposure and health risk. The projected increase in the frequency and severity of heat wave events due to anthropogenic global warming requires methodological frameworks for the accurate and localised analysis of such relationships. The overarching aim of this study is to understand how a changing temperature outdoors will affect the associated heat-related cardiovascular mortality and how building fabric characteristics and space heating and cooling systems will moderate the heat exposure indoors in the subtropical metropolitan area of Great Taipei in Taiwan.