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UCL Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction

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Selected publications 2022–23

For a full list, visit our Publications page. Individuals' publications are also listed in their UCL Profiles.

Books

Carpi, E. (2023) The Politics of Crisis-Making. Forced Displacement and Cultures of Assistance in Lebanon. Indiana University Press. 

Cunliffe, P., Hoare, G., Jones, L., Ramsay, P. (2023) Taking Control: Sovereignty and Democracy After Brexit, Polity

Articles

Acciari, L. (2022). Católicas e feministas: uma identidade paradoxal?. In A. Freire, D. Amaral, E. Sydow (Eds.), Religião e democracia: desafios contemporâneos. São Paulo: Alameda, FAPERJ. 

Acciari, L. (2023). “A trabalhadora doméstica também é um ser humano”: o direito a quarentena remunerada como novo privilégio social?, In Werneck, A., Araujo, M. (Eds.), Reflexões na pandemia: questões sociais, isoladas pela Covid-19, Rio de Janeiro: FAPERJ: http://www.lamparina.com.br/livro_detalhe.asp?idCodLivro=516 

Acciari, L. (2023). GRRIPP Lexicon: a collective vocabulary for liberation in darker times, London: UCL: https://www.grripp.net/_files/ugd/41ed03_9a3cc7ff27974af3ab8eb4b3842c1416.pdf  (Entries: Take care of those who care for you; Don’t even think about killing us!; Without fear of being happy; Vaccine in the arm, food in the plate!)

Ahmed, B.; Alam, S.M.R.A.; Ahmed, I.; Sammonds, P. (2023). The Anthropogenic Aggravation of Landslide Disasters in Bangladesh: Key Informants’ Perspectives. In: Alcántara-Ayala et al. (Eds). Progress in Landslide Research and Technology, Volume 1, Issue 2, pp 385–401, Springer, Switzerland. 

Aldosery, A., Musah, A., Birjovanu, G., Moreno, G., Boscor, A., Dutra, L., Santos, G., Nunes, V., Oliveira, R., Ambrizzi, T. and Massoni, T., 2021. MEWAR: Development of a Cross-Platform Mobile Application and Web Dashboard System for Real-Time Mosquito Surveillance in Northeast Brazil. Frontiers in public health, 9. 

Alexander, D.E. Commemorating the 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear release. Alert: Journal of the Institute of Civil Protection and Emergency Management 14(2): 21-25. 

Alexander, D.E. (2022). On the meaning of impact in disaster risk reduction. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 13(5): 822-827. DOI: 10.1007/s13753-022-00447-w

Alghafli, K. Shi, X. Sloan, W. Shamsudduha, M., Tang, Q., Sefelnasr, A., and Ebraheem, A.A. (2023). Groundwater recharge estimation using in-situ and GRACE observations in the eastern region of the United Arab Emirates. Science of The Total Environment, 161489. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161489. 

Aljawhari, K., Gentile, R., & Galasso, C. (2022). A fragility-oriented approach for seismic retrofit design. Earthquake Spectra, 38(3), 1813–1843. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930221078324 

Alrehaili, N.R., Almutairi, Y.N., Alghamdi, H.M. and Almuthaybiri, M.S., 2022. A Structural Review on Disaster Management Models and Their Contributions. International Journal of Disaster Management, 5(2), pp 93-108. https://doi.org/10.24815/ijdm.v5i2.27087  

Alrehaili, N.R., Almutairi, Y.N., Alghamdi, H.M. and Almuthaybiri, M.S., 2023. The Need for Emergency Management Models. Journal of Emergency Management and Disaster Communications, pp 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2689980923500021  

Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Baldwin, A. W., and Kniveton, D. (2022). Who is the climate-induced trapped figure? WIREs Climate Change, 13(6), e803. 

Ayeb-Karlsson, S., and Uy, N. (2022). Island Stories: Mapping the (im)mobility trends of slow onset environmental processes in three island groups of the Philippines. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 9(60), 1-18. 

Azarbakht, A., Ebrahimian, H., Jalayer, F. and Douglas, J., 2022. Variations in hazard during earthquake sequences between 1995 and 2018 in western Greece as evaluated by a Bayesian ETAS model. Geophysical Journal International231(1), pp.27-46. 

Bellwood-Howard, I., Thompson, J., Shamsudduha, M., Taylor, R.G., Mosha, D.B., Gebrezgi, G., Tarimo, A.K.P.R., Kashaigili, J.J., Nazoumou, Y., and Tiékoura, O. (2022). A multicriteria analysis of groundwater development pathways in three river basins in Sub-Saharan Africa. Environmental Science & Policy 138, 26-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.09.010. 

Borda, A., Molnar, A., Heys, M., Musyimi, C., Kostkova, P. (2023) Digital interventions and serious mobile games for health in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs)  Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 11, 2023, 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1153971  

Borda, A., Molnar, A., Neesham, C., Kostkova, P. (2022) AI could help us spot viruses like monkeypox before they cross over–and help conserve nature, The Conversation, 2022/5/27 

Borda, A., Molnar, A., Neesham, C., Kostkova, P. (2022) Ethical Issues in AI-Enabled Disease Surveillance: Perspectives from Global Health  Applied Sciences, Appl. Sci. 2022, 12(8), 3890; https://doi.org/10.3390/app12083890  

Borges, I.V.G., Musah, A., Dutra, L., Aldosery, A., de Lima, C.L., Moreno, G.M.M., Tunali, M., Basibuyuk, S., Yenigün, O., Massoni, T. and dos Santos, W.P., 2021, September. Zika virus in Brazil: a preliminary study about the influence of meteorological variables on the number of cases using statistical modelling. University of Exeter. 

Bu, L., Li, R., Sun, T., Gong, A., Tian, F., Khan, M.Y.A., and Ni, G. (2023). “Improving LSTM Hydrological Modeling with Spatiotemporal Deep Learning and Multi-Task Learning: A Case Study of Three Mountainous Areas on the Tibetan Plateau.” J. Hydrol. 620 (May): 129401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129401

Charnley, G.E.C., K. Jean, Kelman, I., K.A.M. Gaythorpe, and K.A. Murray. 2022. “Association between Conflict and Cholera in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of the Congo”. Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 28, no. 12, pp. 2472-2481.   

Charnley, G.E.C., Kelman, I., K.A.M. Gaythorpe, and K.A. Murray. 2022. “Accessing subnational cholera epidemiological data for Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo during the seventh pandemic”. BMC Infectious Diseases, vol. 28, article 288.  

Charnley, G.E.C., Kelman, I., and K.A. Murray. 2022. “Drought-related cholera outbreaks in Africa and the implications for climate change: a narrative review”. Pathogens and Global Health, vol. 116, no. 1, pp. 3-12.   

Charnley, G.E.C., Yennan, S., Ochu, C., Kelman, I., Gaythorpe, K.A.M. and Murray, K.A. 2022. “The impact of social and environmental extremes on cholera time varying reproduction number in Nigeria”. PLOS Global Public Health, vol. 2, no. 12, article e0000869.   

Cremen, G., Galasso, C., McCloskey, J., Barcena, A., Creed, M., Filippi, M. E., Gentile, R., Jenkins, L. T., Kalaycioglu, M., Mentese, E. Y., Muthusamy, M., Tarbali, K., & Trogrlić, R. Š. (2023). A state-of-the-art decision-support environment for risk-sensitive and pro-poor urban planning and design in Tomorrow’s cities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 85, 103400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103400 

Cunliffe, P.  (2022) The Meanings of Brexit, New Left Review 

Darzi, A., Halldorsson, B., Hrafnkelsson, B., Ebrahimian, H., Jalayer, F. and Vogfjörð, K.S., (2023) Calibration of a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model to the June 2000 South Iceland seismic sequence. Geophysical Journal International232(2), pp.1236-1258. 

da Silva A.C.G. et al. (2022) Machine Learning Approaches for Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Covid-19 Forecasting: A Brief Review and a Contribution. In: Pani S.K., Dash S., dos Santos W.P., Chan Bukhari S.A., Flammini F. (eds) Assessing COVID-19 and Other Pandemics and Epidemics using Computational Modelling and Data Analysis. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79753-9_18 

da Silva, C.C., de Lima, C.L., da Silva, A.C.G., Moreno, G.M.M. …. Kostkova, P., dos Santos, W. P. (2022) Spatiotemporal forecasting for dengue, chikungunya fever and Zika using machine learning and artificial expert committees based on meta-heuristics, Journal of Research on Biomedical Engineering, Vol 38, Issue 2, pp. 499-537, 2022/6, https://doi.org/10.1007/s42600-022-00202-6

da Silva, C.C., de Lima, C.L., da Silva, A.C.G., Moreno, G.M.M., Musah, A., Aldosery, A., Dutra, L., Ambrizzi, T., Borges, I.V., Tunali, M. and Basibuyuk, S., 2022. Spatiotemporal forecasting for dengue, chikungunya fever and Zika using machine learning and artificial expert committees based on meta-heuristics. Research on Biomedical Engineering, pp.1-39. 

Davis, I.R. and Alexander, D.E. (2022). A Glass Half-Full or Half-Empty? A Dialogue on Progress in Disaster Risk Reduction. Working Paper 2022-1, Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, UK, 131 pp. 

de Lima C.L. et al. (2022) Intelligent Systems for Dengue, Chikungunya, and Zika Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Forecasting: A Contribution and a Brief Review. In: Pani S.K., Dash S., dos Santos W.P., Chan Bukhari S.A., Flammini F. (eds) Assessing COVID-19 and Other Pandemics and Epidemics using Computational Modelling and Data Analysis. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79753-9_17 

de Lima, C.L.,  da Silva, C.C., da Silva, A.C.G., da Silva, A.A., Kostkova, P. et al. (2022) Prediction of Aedes aegypti breeding distribution through spatiotemporal analysis and machine learning: A case study in Recife, Pernambuco, ResearchSquare, 2022, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1200442/v 

de Lima, C.L., da Silva, A.C.G., da Silva, C.C., Moreno, G.M.M., da Silva Filho, A.G., Musah, A., Aldosery, A., Dutra, L., Ambrizzi, T., Graciano Borges, I.V. and Tunali, M., 2022. Intelligent Systems for Dengue, Chikungunya, and Zika Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Forecasting: A Contribution and a Brief Review. In: Pani, S.K., Dash, S., dos Santos, W.P., Chan Bukhari, S.A., Flammini, F. (eds) Assessing COVID-19 and Other Pandemics and Epidemics using Computational Modelling and Data Analysis. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79753-9_17 

de Lima, C.L., da Silva, C.C., da Silva, A.C.G., da Silva, A.A., de Almeida, F.R., de Gusmão, C.M.G., Moreno, G.M.M., Musah, A., Aldosery, A., Browning, E. and Dutra, L., 2022. Prediction of Aedes aegypti breeding distribution through spatiotemporal analysis and machine learning: A case study in Recife, Pernambuco (pre-print on ResearchSquare)

Di Napoli, C., McGushin, A., Romanello, M., Ayeb-Karlsson, S. et al. (2022). Tracking the impacts of climate change on human health via indicators: lessons from the Lancet Countdown.  BMC Public Health 22, 663. 

Dryhurst, S., Mulder, F., Dallo, I., Fallou, L., Kerr, J.R., McBride, S. & Becker, J. (2023).  Fighting misinformation in seismology: expert opinion on earthquake facts vs fiction.  Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.937055 

Dryhurst, S., Dallo, I., Luoni, G., Marti, M. & Freeman, A.L. (2022).  Field evaluation of OEF communications.  Research deliverable for Horizon 2020 RISE consortium (grant agreement no 821115) 

Duda, P.I. and Kelman, I. 2022. “Informal Disaster Diplomacy”. Societies, vol. 13, no. 1, article 8.   

Dyer, M., Sallis, H., Khouja, J., Dryhurst, S. and Munafó, M. (2022).  Associations Between COVID-19 Risk Perceptions, and Mental Health, Wellbeing and Risk Behaviours.  Journal of Risk Research, 25 (11-12), 1372-1394.   

Ebrahimian, H., Jalayer, F., Maleki Asayesh, B., Hainzl, S. and Zafarani, H., 2022. Improvements to seismicity forecasting based on a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model. Scientific Reports12(1), p.20970

Filippi, M. E., Barcena, A., Šakić Trogrlić, R., Cremen, G., Menteşe, E. Y., Gentile, R., Creed, M. J., Jenkins, L. T., Kalaycioglu, M., Poudel, D. P., Muthusamy, M., Manandhar, V., Adhikari, S., Rai, M., Dhakal, A., Barake, B., Tarbali, K., Galasso, C., & McCloskey, J. (2023). Interdisciplinarity in practice: Reflections from early-career researchers developing a risk-informed decision support environment for Tomorrow’s cities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 85, 103481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103481 

Fisher, S., (2023) Much ado about nothing? Why adaptation measurement matters, Climate and Development, DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2023.2204070

Fisher, S., 2023, Four questions to enhance the effectiveness and the adequacy of adaptation in the global stocktake, UNEP Perspectives Series. 

Fisher, S., 2023, Opening up new regional ontologies around adapting to climate change, Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/tesg.12552

Flores, E. C., Kelman, I., Joye, Y., Bolderdijk, J. W., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Wutich, A., ... & Hickman, C. (2022). A healthy planet for a healthy mind. One Earth, 5(4), 307-310. 

Flores-Palacios, X.; Ahmed, B.; Barbera, C. (2023). Micro-narratives on People’s Perception of Climate Change and Its Impact on Their Livelihood and Migration: Voices from the Indigenous Aymara People in the Bolivian Andes. In: Hamza, M., Amaratunga, D., Haigh, R., Malalgoda, C., Jayakody, C., Senanayake, A. (eds) Rebuilding Communities After Displacement, pp 29–57, Springer, Switzerland. 

Foley, A., Brinklow, L., Corbett, J., Kelman, I., Klöck, C., Moncada, S., ...Robinson, S.-.A. (2023). Understanding “Islandness”. Annals of the American Association of Geographers, doi:10.1080/24694452.2023.2193249

Freeman, A.L.J and Dryhurst, S. (2023). Good practice recommendations report on OEF or OELF communication. Research deliverable for Horizon 2020 RISE consortium (grant agreement no 821115) 

Galaitsi, S.E., Pinigina,L.,   Keisler, J.M., Pescaroli, G., Keenan, J.M,  Linkov I.  (2023) “Responding to crises: Business Continuity Management, Operational Resilience, and Organizational Resilience”. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science. Accepted, in press. 

Gentile, R., & Galasso, C. (2022). Surrogate probabilistic seismic demand modelling of inelastic singledegreeoffreedom systems for efficient earthquake risk applications. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 51(2), 492–511. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3576 

Gentile, R., Cremen, G., Galasso, C., Jenkins, L. T., Manandhar, V., Mentese, E. Y., Guragain, R., & McCloskey, J. (2022). Scoring, selecting, and developing physical impact models for multi-hazard risk assessment. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 103365. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022. 

Gong, R. and Alrehaili, N.R., 2023. Flood Preparedness in United Kingdom and China: A Comparison Study Focusing on Social and Economic Factors. International Journal of Disaster Management, 5(3), pp 181-192. https://doi.org/10.24815/ijdm.v5i3.28854 

Harasym, M.C., Raju, E. and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2022). A global mental health opportunity: How can cultural concepts of distress broaden the construct of immobility?Global Environmental Change, 77(102594). 

Harris, M., Duda, P., Kelman, I. and Glick, N. (2022) Addressing disaster and health risks for sustainable outer space, Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.4668

Islam, M. T., Ahmed, B., Sammonds, P., Chakma, A., Patwary, O. H., Durrat, F., & Alam, M. S. (2022). The 2017 Rohingya Influx into Bangladesh and its Implications for the Host Communities. Asian Journal of Peacebuilding, 10 (2), 487-512. doi:10.18588/202211.00a294 

Jalayer, F., Ebrahimian, H., Trevlopoulos, K. and Bradley, B. "Empirical tsunami fragility modelling for hierarchical damage levels." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 23, no. 2 (2023): 909-931. 

Kamal, A.S.M.M.; Hossain, F.; Ahmed, B.; Rahman, M.Z.; Sammonds, P. (2023). Assessing the effectiveness of landslide slope stability by analysing structural mitigation measures and community risk perception. Natural Hazards.  

Kamal, A.S.M.M.; Ahmed, B.; Tasnim, S.; Sammonds, P. (2022). Assessing rainfall-induced landslide risk in a humanitarian context: The Kutupalong Rohingya Camp in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Natural Hazards Research, 2(3), 230-248.  

Kamal, A.S.M.M.; Hossain, F.; Ahmed, B.; Sammonds, P. (2022). Analyzing the 27 July 2021 rainfall-induced catastrophic landslide event in the Kutupalong Rohingya Camp in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 9, 17. 

Kamal, A. S. M. M., Hossain, F., Ahmed, B., Rahman, M. Z., and Sammonds, P. (2023). Assessing the effectiveness of landslide slope stability by analysing structural mitigation measures and community risk perception. Natural Hazards. doi:10.1007/s11069-023-05947-6 

Kelman, I., Alexander, D., Fearnley, C., Jenkins, S., and Sammonds, P. (2023). Systemic risks perspectives of Eyjafjallajökull volcano's 2010 eruption. Progress in Disaster Science, 18, 100282. doi:10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100282 

Kamal, A. S. M. M., Hossain, F., Ahmed, B., and Sammonds, P. (2022). Analyzing the 27 July 2021 rainfall-induced catastrophic landslide event in the Kutupalong Rohingya Camp in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 9 (1), 17. doi:10.1186/s40677-022-00219-0 

Kamal, A. S. M. M., Hossain, F., Rahman, M. Z., Ahmed, B., and Sammonds, P. (2022). Geological and soil engineering properties of shallow landslides occurring in the Kutupalong Rohingya Camp in Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh. Landslides. doi:10.1007/s10346-021-01810-6 

Kelman, I. (2022). “COVID-19: A Disaster Diplomacy Perspective”. Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 83-92.     

Kelman, I. (2022). “Planetary Boundaries”. Chapter 13, pp. 147-157 in K. Sims, N. Banks, S. Engel, P. Hodge, J. Makuwira, N. Nakamura, J. Rigg, A. Salamanca, and P. Yeophantong (eds.), The Routledge Handbook of Global Development, Abingdon, U.K.   

Kelman, I. (2022). “Polar Disaster Diplomacy: Geostrategies for Norway”. Pp. 89-107 in C. Leuprecht (ed.), Polar Cousins: Comparing Antarctic and Arctic Geostrategic Futures, University of Calgary Press, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.   

Kelman, I. (2022). “What are disasters not?” Chapter 15, pp. 228-238 in M. Aronsson-Storrier and R. Dahlberg (eds.), Defining Disaster: Disciplines and Domains, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, U.K.   

Kelman, I. (2023). “Islander Activisms and Resistances: Any Role for Resiliences and Vulnerabilities?” Okinawan Journal of Island Studies, in press.   

Kelman, I. (2023). “Inclusive engagement for environmental sustainability in small island states”. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, vol. 61, article 101253.  

Kelman, I. and A. Clark-Ginsberg. (2022). “An urban governance framework for including environmental migrants in sustainable cities”. Climate, vol. 10, no. 8, article 121.     

Kelman, I., Alexander, D.E., Fearnley, C., Jenkins, S. and Sammonds, P. (2023). Systemic risks perspectives of Eyjafjallajökull volcano's 2010 eruption. Progress in Disaster Science 18: Article no. 100282, pp. 1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100282 

Khan, N., Crehan, C., Hull-Bailey, T., Normand, C., Larsson, L., Nkhoma, D.,  Chiyaka, T., Fitzgerald, F., Kesler, E., Gannon, H., Kostkova, P., Wilson, E., Giaccone, M., Krige, D., Baradza, M., Silksmith, D., Neal, S., Chimhuya, S., Chiume, M., Sassoon, Y., Heys, M. (2022) Software development process of Neotree-a data capture and decision support system to improve newborn healthcare in low-resource settings. Wellcome Open Research, Vol 7, Issue 305, pages 305, 2022/12/19, https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.18423.1  

Li, L., Sullivan, A., Musah, A., Stavrianaki, K., Wood, C.E., Baker, P., and Kostkova, P. (2022) To Zoom or not to Zoom: A longitudinal study of UK population’s activities during the COVID-19 pandemic, Plos one, Vol 17, Issue 7, pp. e0270207, 2022/7/13, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270207  

Li, L., Musah, A., Thomas, M.G., Kostkova, P. (2022)  An ecological study exploring the geospatial associations between socioeconomic deprivation and fire-related dwelling casualties in the England (2010–2019), Applied Geography, Vol 144, pp. 102718, 2022/7/1, publisher: Pergamon, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2022.102718  

Li, L., Wood E.C., Kostkova, P. Vaccine hesitancy and behavior change theory-based social media interventions: a systematic review, Translational Behavioral Medicine, 2022, ibab148, https://doi.org/10.1093/tbm/ibab148 

Li, L., Aldosery, A., Vitiugin, F., Nathan, N., Novillo-Ortiz, D., Castillo, C. and Kostkova, P., (2021). The response of governments and public health agencies to COVID-19 pandemics on social media: a multi-country analysis of twitter discourse. Frontiers in Public Health, p.1410.  

Li, R., Sun, T., Tian, F., and Ni, G. (2023). “SHAFTS (V2022.3): A Deep-Learning-Based Python Package for Simultaneous Extraction of Building Height and Footprint from Sentinel Imagery.” Geosci. Model Dev. 16 (2): 751–78. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-751-2023

Liu, J., Sun, T., and Ni, G. (2023). “Where Does the Irrigated Water in the Tarim Basin Go? A Hydrological Analysis of Water Budgets and Atmospheric Transport.” Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (4): 044019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc262

Lima, C., da Silva, A.C.G., Moreno, G.M.M., Cordeiro Da Silva, C., Musah, A., Aldosery, A., Dutra, L., Ambrizzi, T., Borges, I.V., Tunali, M., Basibuyuk, S., … Kostkova, P, dos Santos, W.P. (2022) Temporal and spatiotemporal arboviruses forecasting by machine learning: a systematic review, Frontiers in Public Health, 03 June 2022, Volume 10, p.1501 https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.900077 

Lima, C., Silva, C., Silva, E., Marques, G., Araujo, L., Junior, L., Souza, Santana, M., Gomes, J., Barbosa, V., Musah, A., Kostkova, P., Dos Santos, W., Silva-Filho, A. (2022) Monitoramento dinâmico e predição espaço-temporal da COVID-19 usando aprendizagem de máquina, Innovation in Biomedical Engineering, vol 1, pp 1-9, 2022 

Lines, R.,  Faure Walker, J.P., Yore, R. (2022) Progression through emergency and temporary shelter, transitional housing and permanent housing: A longitudinal case study from the 2018 Lombok earthquake, Indonesia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 75, 102959 

Linkov, I., Trump, B.D., Trump, J., Pescaroli, G., Hynes, W., Mavrodieva, A., Panda, A. (2022)  “Resilience stress testing for critical infrastructure”, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR), 88, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103323  

Mangat, H.S., Rippon, B., Reddy, N.T., Syed, A.A., Maruthanal, J.M., Luedtke, S., Puthumana, J.J., Srivatsa, A., Bosman, A., Kostkova, P. (2022) Reported rates of all-cause serious adverse events following immunization with BNT-162b in 5–17-year-old children in the United States, Plos One, Vol 18 (2), pp. e0281993, 2022/2/17, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0281993 

Mangat, H.., Musah, A., Luedtke, S., Syed, A.A., Maramattom, B.V., Maruthanal, J., Bosman, A., Kostkova, P. (2022) Analyses of reported severe adverse events after immunization with SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in the United States: One year on, Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 10, 2022, 2022/10/13, DIO: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.972464 

Martuscelli, P. N., Ahmed, B., and Sammonds, P. (2022). Defying Genocide in Myanmar: Everyday Resistance Narratives of Rohingyas. Journal of Genocide Research, 1-23. doi:10.1080/14623528.2022.2078074 

Matthews, L. J., Clark-Ginsberg, A., Scobie, M., Peters, L. E. R., Gopinathan, U., Mosurska, A., Davis, K., Myhre, S., Hirsch, S., and Kelman, I. (2023). Collective action by community groups: Solutions for climate change or different players in the same game? Climate and Development. In press. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2022.2149254   

Mathews, M.A., De Neve, G. and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2023). Dimensions of wellbeing and recognitional justice of migrant workers during the COVID-19 lockdown in Kerala, India. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-01687-x

McMichael, C., Schwerdtle, P. N., and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2023). Waiting for the wave, but missing the tide: Case studies of climate-related (im)mobility and health. Journal of Migration and Health, 7, 100147.      

Mehtta, M. (2022). Nonhuman Governance: Care and Violence in South Asian Animism. Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa and the Middle East (CSSAAME).Volume 42.3 December 2022 issue.

Mehtta, M.  Intimate Antagonisms and Unlikely Friendships between State and Society in the Sundarbans Forests of India. Current Anthropology. Accepted, Forthcoming in 2024.         

Mena, R., Brown, S., Peters, L.E.R., Kelman, I., & Ji, H. (2022). Connecting disasters and climate change to the humanitarian-development-peace nexus. Journal of Peacebuilding and Development, https://doi.org/10.1177/15423166221129633.  

Meschis, M., Roberts, G.P., Robertson, J., Mildon, Z., Sahy, D., Goswami, R., Sgambato, C.,  Faure Walker, J., Michetti, A.M., Iezzi, F. (2022). Out of phase Quaternary uplift-rate changes reveal normal fault interaction, implied by deformed marine palaeoshorelines. Geomorphology 416, 108432 

Menteşe, E. Y., Cremen, G., Gentile, R., Flippi, E. M., Galasso, C., and McCloskey, J. (2023). Future exposure modelling for risk-informed decision making in urban planning. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 103651. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103651 

Mildon, Z., Roberts, G.P., Faure Walker, J.P., Beck, J., Papanikolaou, I., Michetti, A.M., Toda, S., Iezzi, F., Campbell, L., McCaffrey, K.J.W., Shanks, R., Sgambato, C., Robertson, J., Meschis, M., Vittori, E. (2022). Surface faulting earthquake clustering controlled by fault and shear-zone interactions. Nature Communications 13 (1), 7126 

Musah, A., Dutra, L.M.M., Aldosery, A., Browning, E., Ambrizzi, T., Borges, I.V.G., Tunali, M., Başibüyük, S., Yenigün, O., Moreno, G.M.M. and da Silva, A.C.G., 2022. An Evaluation of the OpenWeatherMap API versus INMET Using Weather Data from Two Brazilian Cities: Recife and Campina Grande. Data, 7(8), p.106  https://doi.org/10.3390/data7080106  

Naqvi, M., Li L., Woodrow, M., Yadav, P., Kostkova, P. (2022). Understanding COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy in Ethnic Minorities Groups in the UK, Frontiers in Public health, Vol 10, 2022, DOI | https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.917242

O'Connor, A. (2023). Opera as Critical “Synthesis”: Theorizing the Interface between Cosmopolitanism and Orientalism. Comparative Studies in Society and History, 65(3).

Orievulu, K., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Ngwenya, N., Ngema, S., McGregor, H., Adeagbo, O., ... & Iwuji, C. (2022). Economic, Social and Demographic impacts of Drought on treatment adherence among people living with HIV in rural South Africa: a qualitative analysis. Climate Risk Management, 100423. 

Orievulu, K., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Ngema, S., Baisley, K., Tanser, F., Ngwenya, N., ... & Iwuji, C. (2022).  Exploring linkages between drought and HIV treatment adherence in Africa: A Systematic Review. Lancet Planetary Health, 6(4), e359-e370.  

Otárola, K., Gentile, R., Sousa, L., & Galasso, C. (2023). Impact of ground-motion duration on nonlinear structural performance: Part I: spectrally equivalent records and inelastic single-degree-of-freedom systems. Earthquake Spectra, 875529302311555. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231155502 

Otárola, K., Sousa, L., Gentile, R., & Galasso, C. (2023). Impact of ground-motion duration on nonlinear structural performance: Part II: site- and building-specific analysis. Earthquake Spectra, 875529302311555. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231155506

Otárola, K., Gentile, R., Sousa, L., & Galasso, C. (2023). Accounting for earthquakeinduced groundmotion duration in buildingportfolio loss assessment. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 52(4), 887–909. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3791  

Pedone, L., Gentile, R., Galasso, C., & Pampanin, S. (2023). Energy-based procedures for seismic fragility analysis of mainshock-damaged buildings. Frontiers in Built Environment, accepted.

Pelling, M., Comelli, T., Cordova, M., Kalaycioğlu, S., Menoscal, J., Upadhyaya, R., and Garschagen, M., (2023) Normative future visioning for city resilience and development. Climate and Development, DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2023.2223564

Pescaroli, G., Guida, K., Reynolds, J., Pulwarty, R.S., Linkov, I., and Alexander, D.E. (2022). Managing systemic risk in emergency management, organizational resilience and climate change adaptation. Disaster Prevention and Management. doi: 10.1108/DPM-08-2022-0179 

Pescaroli, G., Velazquez, O., AlcántaraAyala, I., Galasso, C. (2023). “Integrating earthquake early warnings into business continuity and organisational resilience: lessons learned from Mexico City”, Disasters, 47/2, pp. 245-542 

Peters, L.E.R., Clark-Ginsberg, A., McCaul, B., Cáceres, G., Nuñez, A.L., Balagna, J., Lopez, A., Patel, S.S., Patel, R.B., & Van Den Hoek, J. (invited) (2022). Informality, violence, and disaster risks: Coproducing inclusive early warning and response systems in urban informal settlements in Honduras. Frontiers in Climate. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.937244

Proto, R., Recchia, G., Dryhurst, S. and Freeman, A.L.J (2023). Do coloured cells in risk matrices affect decision-making and risk perception?  Insights from randomised controlled studies.  Risk Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.14091 

Ragoler, M., Radomislensky, I., Dolev, E., Renert, L., & Peleg, K. (2023) “Rethinking the current ‘stage-and-wait’ paradigm,” Prehospital and Disaster Medicine, 38(2), pp. 185–192. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1017/s1049023x23000079.

Riley, H., Ketola, H., and Yadav, P. (2022). Gender, Populism and Collective Identity: a Feminist Analysis of the Maoist Movement in Nepal. Journal Of Human Security, 18(2).35-46. DOI: 10.12924/johs2022.18020035  

Robbiati, C., Wood, C., Chelagat, W., Koskey, L., Mwai, G., Mwenja, I., ... Peters, L.E.R., … & Shannon, G. (2022). Building blocks of community positive health: The contribution of Kenyan communities. The Lancet Planetary Health, 6, S22. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00284-4  

Romanello, M., Di Napoli, C., Drummond, P., Green, C., Kennard, H., Lampard, P., Scamman, D., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., ... & Costello, A. (2022). The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels. The Lancet, 400(10363), 1619-1654. 

Scanlon, B.R., Fakhreddine, S., Rateb, A., …, Shamsudduha, M., Simmons, C.T., Sun, A., Taylor, R.G., Villholth, K.G., Vörösmarty, C.J., Zheng, C. (2023). Global water resources and the role of groundwater in a resilient water future. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment 4, 87-101. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00378-6. 

Scanlon, B.R., Rateb, A., Anyamba, A., Kebede, S., MacDonald, A.M., Shamsudduha, M., and others (2022). Linkages between GRACE water storage, hydrologic extremes, and climate teleconnections in major African aquifers. Environ. Res. Lett. 17, 014046, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3bfc. 

Scolobig, A., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., Pelling, M., Martin, J., Deubelli, T., Liu, W. and Oen A. (2023) Transformative adaptation through nature-based solutions: a comparative case study analysis in China, Italy, and Germany. Regional Environmental Change 23: 69 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-023-02066-7  

Scourfield, S., Lishman, B., and Sammonds, P. (2022). The influence of ice rubble on sea ice friction: Experimental evidence on the centimetre and metre scales.  Physics and Mechanics of Sea Ice. Springer, Cham. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-80439-8_4 

Shamsudduha, M., Taylor, R.G., Haq, M.D., Nowreen, S., Zahid, A., and Ahmed, K.M.U. (2022). The Bengal Water Machine: Quantified freshwater capture in Bangladesh. Science 377(6612), 1315-1319, doi:10.1126/science.abm4730. 

Silva, C.C.D., Lima, C.L.D., Silva, A.C.G.D., Moreno, G.M.M., Musah, A., Aldosery, A., Dutra, L., Ambrizzi, T., Borges, I.V.G., Tunali, M. and Basibuyuk, S., 2021. Forecasting Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika cases in Recife, Brazil: a spatio-temporal approach based on climate conditions, health notifications and machine learning. Research, Society and Development, 10(12). 

Stavrianaki, K., Shortt, M., & Sammonds, P. (2022). Source Location and Dataset Incompleteness in Acoustic Emissions from Ice Tank Tests on Ice-Rubble-Ice Friction.  Proceedings of the IUTAM Symposium held in Espoo, Finland, 3-7 June 2019. Springer Bookseries. 

Suppasri, A., Nishida, T., Pakoksung, K., Cheng A.C., Chua, C.T., Iwasaki T., Pescaroli, G., Imamura, F. (2022) “Quantifying tsunami impact on industrial facilities and production capacity in ports: An application to Sendai Port, Japan”. IJDRR, 78, 01. 

Tagliacozzo, S., Guadagno, L., and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2022). How do population movements fit within the framework of systemic risk?.Progress in Disaster Science, 16 (100256). 

Thebe Limbu, S. (2022) ‘Embodying the insider/outsider duality: Notes from the field and the desk’, Studies in Nepali History and Society, 27(1), pp.177–192  

Thompson, D., and Pescaroli, G. (2023) “Buying electricity resilience: using backup generator sales in the United States to understand the role of the private market in resilience”. Journal of Infrastructure Preservation and Resilience, 11,4  https://doi.org/10.1186/s43065-023-00078-5 

Trueba, M.L., Axelrod, T. and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2023) Are asylum seekers and refugeesprovided with appropriate mental health support in the United Kingdom?Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, DOI: 10.1080/1369183X.2023.2181126 

Tunali, M., Radin, A.A., Başıbüyük, S., Musah, A., Borges, I.V.G., Yenigun, O., Aldosery, A., Kostkova, P., Dos Santos, W.P., Massoni, T. and Dutra, L.M.M., 2021. A review exploring the overarching burden of Zika virus with emphasis on epidemiological case studies from Brazil. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(40), pp.55952-55966. 

Wang, C., Cremen, G., Gentile, R., and Galasso, C. (2023). Design and assessment of pro-poor financial soft policies for expanding cities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 85, 103500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103500 

Wood, D.E., Luedtke, S., Musah, A., Bammeke, F. …, Kostkova, P. (2022). Exploring barriers to guideline implementation for prescription of surgical antibiotic prophylaxis in Nigeria, JAC-antimicrobial resistance, Vol 4, Issue 2, pp. dlac044, 2022/4, https://doi.org/10.1093/jacamr/dlac044 

Yadav, P. (2023). Do political quotas work? Gender quotas and women’s political participation in Nepal, European Journal of Politics and Gender (published online ahead of print 2023) https://doi.org/10.1332/251510821X16746560835644  

Yadav, P., Fordham, M. (2022). Why aren’t we talking to each other? Thinking gender, conflict and disaster as a continuum. In Smith, S., Yoshida, K. (Eds.), Feminist Conversations on Peace. Bristol University Press. 

Ying, X., Ni, T., Lu, M., Li, Z., Lu, Y., Bamisile, O., Pelling, M. (2023) Sub-catchment-based urban flood risk assessment with a multi-index fuzzy evaluation approach: a case study of Jinjiang district, China, Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 14:1, DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2182173

Yore, R., Kelman, I. and Fearnley, C. (2023). Warnings briefing note: Inclusive Warnings - Involving everyone in warning processes. UCL Warning Research Centre. [https://www.ucl.ac.uk/sts/sites/sts/files/briefing_note_inclusive_final....

Yore, R., Fearnley, C., Kelman, I. and Fordham, M. (2023)Designing Inclusive and Accessible Warning Systems: Good Practices and Entry Points. Report written by the UCL Warning Research Centre for the World Bank GFDRR. (launch event in May 2023). 

Zander, K. K., Garnett, S. T., Sterly, H., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Šedová, B., Lotze-Campen, H., ... and Baggen, H. S. (2022). Topic modelling exposes disciplinary divergence in research on the nexus between human mobility and the environment. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 9(1), 1-9. 

Zheng, Y., Baudet, B., Delage, P., Pereira, J. -. M., and Sammonds, P. (2022). Pore changes in an illitic clay during one-dimensional compression. Geotechnique: international journal of soil mechanics

Zickgraf, C., Ali, S. H., Clifford, M., Djalante, R., Kniveton, D., Brown, O., and Ayeb-Karlsson, S. (2022).  Natural resources, human mobility and sustainability: a review and research gap analysis. Sustainability Science, 1-13. 

Zwaan, F., Hughes, A., McNeill, L., Gregory, L.C., Faure Walker, J. (2022). Links between tectonics, fault evolution and surface processes in extensional systems. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10