XClose

Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health

Home
Menu

Publications and Data

2023

Hartinger, S. M., Yglesias-González, M., Blanco-Villafuerte, L., Palmeiro-Silva, Y. K., Lescano, A. G., Stewart-Ibarra, A., ... & Romanello, M. (2023). The 2022 South America report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: trust the science. Now that we know, we must act. The Lancet Regional Health–Americashttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2023.100470

Milner, J., Turner, G., Ibbetson, A., Eustachio Colombo, P., Green, R., Dangour, A.D., Haines, A., Wilkinson, P. (2023). Impact on mortality of pathways to ‘Net Zero’ greenhouse gas emissions in England and Wales: a multisectoral modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00310-2 

Mohajeri, N., James, M., Jonathon, T., Gregor, K., Agust, G., Harry, K., ... & Mike, D. (2023). Urban-rural disparity in global estimation of PM2. 5 household air pollution and its attributable health burden. The Lancet Planetary Health.

Moore, G., Pluchinotta, I., Pineo, H., Osrin, D., Zimmermann, N., Salvia, G., & Davies, M. (2023). 14. Formative developmental evaluation: a transdisciplinary urban regeneration project in London, UK. Handbook of Transdisciplinarity: Global Perspective, 247.

Muindi, K., Iddi, S., Gitau, H., & Mberu, B. (2023). Housing and health outcomes: evidence on child morbidities from six Sub-Saharan African countries. BMC pediatrics, 23(1), 1-13. https://bmcpediatr.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12887-023-03992-5

Niu, Y., Yang, J., Zhao, Q., Gao, Y., Xue, T., Yin, Q., ... & Liu, Q. (2023). The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013. Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering, 17(7), 81. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11783-023-1681-5

2022

Clare, K., Maani, N., & Milner, J. (2022). Meat, money and messaging: How the environmental and health harms of red and processed meat consumption are framed by the meat industry. Food Policy109, 102234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102234

Iddi, S., Muindi, K., Gitau, H., & Mberu, B. (2022). Characterization of Healthy Housing in Africa: Method, Profiles, and Determinants. Journal of Urban Health, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-021-00603-5

Lunetto, M., Castro, O., Gericke, C., & Hale, J. (2022). Barriers and enablers to local active travel during COVID-19: A case study of Streetspace interventions in two London boroughs. [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. Wellcome Open Res 2023, 8:177 (https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19164.1)

Lunetto, M., Hale, J., & Michie, S. (2022). achieving effective climate action in cities by understanding behavioral systems. One Earth, 5(7), 745-748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.06.009

O'Keeffe, J., Pluchinotta, I., De Stercke, S., Hinson, C., Puchol-Salort, P., Mijic, A., ... & Collins, A. M. (2022). Evaluating natural capital performance of urban development through system dynamics: A case study from London. Science of The Total Environment, 153673. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153673

Petrou, G., Mavrogianni, A., Symonds, P., & Davies, M. (2022, October). Beyond Normal: Guidelines on How to Identify Suitable Model Input Distributions for Building Performance Analysis. International Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA). https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10136381/

Pineo, H. (2022). Healthy Urbanism. Designing and Planning Equitable Sustainable and Inclusive Places. Palgrave Macmillan Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-9647-3 

Pluchinotta, I., Zhou, K., Salvia, G., Moore, G., & Zimmermann, N. (2022). Grounding simulation models in a participatory process: a case study of use of urban natural space in Thamesmead, London. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10159808/

Romanello, M., Di Napoli, C., Drummond, P., Green, C., Kennard, H., Lampard, P., ... & Costello, A. (2022). The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels. The Lancet, 400(10363), 1619-1654. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(22)01540-9

Salvia, G., Pluchinotta, I., Tsoulou, I., Moore, G., & Zimmermann, N. (2022). Understanding Urban Green Space Usage through Systems Thinking: A Case Study in Thamesmead, London. Sustainability, 14(5), 2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052575

Tsoulou, I., Jain, N., Oikonomou, E., Petrou, G., Howard, A., Gupta, R., ... & Davies, M. (2022, January). Assessing the Current and Future Risk of Overheating in London’s Care Homes: The Effect of Passive Ventilation. International Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA). https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10137961/

Xu, M., Chang, N., Tu, T., Sun, J., Jiang, J., Xia, Y., ... & Liu, Q. (2022). Economic burden of dengue fever in China: A retrospective research study. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases16(5), e0010360. https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0010360

Zhang, L., & Hale, J. (2022). Barriers and Enablers to Clothing Repair and Repurpose in UK Citizens. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/jb8sw 

2021

Belesova, K., Callaghan, M., Minx, J. C., Creutzig, F., Turcu, C., Hutchinson, E., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Climate action for health and wellbeing in cities: a protocol for the systematic development of a database of peer-reviewed studies using machine learning methods. Wellcome open research, 6. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16570.1 

Crane, M., Lloyd, S., Haines, A., Ding, D., Hutchinson, E., ... & Turcu, C. (2021). Transforming cities for sustainability: A health perspective. Environment International, 147, 106366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.106366

Davies, M., Belesova, K., Crane, M., Hale, J., Haines, A., Hutchinson, E., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). The CUSSH programme: learning how to support cities’ transformational change towards health and sustainability. Wellcome Open Research, 6(100), 100. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16678.1

Deloly, C., Roué-Le Gall, A., Moore, G., Bretelle, L., Milner, J., Mohajeri, N., ... & Davies, M. (2021). Relationship-building around a policy decision-support tool for urban health. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://dx.doi.org/10.5334/bc.110

Dianati, K., Schafer, L., Milner, J., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Gitau, H., Hale, J., ...& Davies, M. (2021). A system dynamics-based scenario analysis of residential solid waste management in Kisumu, Kenya. Science of the Total Environment. 777., 146200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146200  

Eustachio Colombo, P., Milner, J., Scheelbeek, P. F., Taylor, A., Parlesak, A., Kastner, T., ... & Green, R. (2021). Pathways to" 5-a-day": modeling the health impacts and environmental footprints of meeting the target for fruit and vegetable intake in the United Kingdom. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, nqab076. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqab076 

Ferguson, L., Taylor, J., Zhou, K., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., Davies, M., & Dimitroulopoulou, S. (2021). Systemic inequalities in indoor air pollution exposure in London, UK. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.100

Goodess, C., Berk, S., Ratna, S. B., Brousse, O., Davies, M., Heaviside, C., ... & Pineo, H. (2021). Climate change projections for sustainable and healthy cities. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). https://dx.doi.org/10.5334%2Fbc.111 Data available at: https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Data_for_Climate_change_projection...

Hamilton, I., Kennard, H., McGushin, A., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Kiesewetter, G., Lott, M., ... & Watts, N. (2021). The public health implications of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, 5(2), e74-e83. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30249-7

Lu, S., Symonds, P., Verschoor, N., Chalabi, Z., Taylor, J., & Davies, M. (2021, November). Use of Beta Regression to investigate the link between home air infiltration rate and self-reported health. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012178). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012178

Mavrogianni, A., Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Oikonomou, E., Pineo, H., Zimmermann, N., & Davies, M. (2021). Cool Cities by Design: Shaping a Healthy and Equitable London in a Warming Climate. In Urban Climate Science for Planning Healthy Cities (pp. 71-98). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87598-5_4

Milner, J., Davies, M., Haines, A., Huxley, R., Michie, S., Robertson, L., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Emerging from COVID-19: Lessons for Action on Climate Change and Health in Cities. Journal of Urban Health. 1-5. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11524-020-00501-2   

Mohajeri, N., Walch, A., Gudmundsson, A., Heaviside, C., Askari, S., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2021). Covid-19 mobility restrictions: impacts on urban air quality and health. Buildings & Cities, 2(1), 759-778. http://dx.doi.org/10.5334/bc.124

Moore, G., Michie, S., Anderson, J., Belesova, K., Crane, M., Deloly, C., ... & Osrin, D. (2021). Developing a programme theory for a transdisciplinary research collaboration: Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health. Wellcome Open Research, 6, 35. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16542.1 

Niu, Y., Li, Z., Gao, Y., Liu, X., Xu, L., Vardoulakis, S., ... & Liu, Q. (2021). A Systematic Review of the Development and Validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index: Major Factors, Methods, and Spatial Units. Current climate change reports7(3), 87-97. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-021-00173-3

Patterson, E., Eustachio Colombo, P., Milner, J., Green, R., & Elinder, L. S. (2021). Potential health impact of increasing adoption of sustainable dietary practices in Sweden. BMC public health, 21(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11256-z 

Petrou, G., Mavrogianni, A., Symonds, P., & Davies, M. (2021, November). A case study on the impact of fixed input parameter values in the modelling of indoor overheating. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012137). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012137

Pineo, H., & Moore, G. (2021). Built environment stakeholders' experiences of implementing health urban development: an exploratory study. Cities & Health, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1080/23748834.2021.1876376 

Pineo, H., Turnbull, E. R., Davies, M., Rowson, M., Hayward, A. C., Hart, G., ... & Aldridge, R. W. (2021). A new transdisciplinary research model to investigate and improve the health of the public. Health Promotion International. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapro/daaa125 

Pineo, H., Zhou, K., Niu, Y., Hale, J., Willan, C., Crane, M., ... & Davies, M. (2021). Evidence-informed urban health and sustainability governance in two Chinese cities. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.90 

Pluchinotta, I., Salvia, G., & Zimmermann, N. (2021). The importance of eliciting stakeholders’ system boundary perceptions for problem structuring and decision-making. European Journal of Operational Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.12.029

Salvia, G., Zimmermann, N., Willan, C., Hale, J., Gitau, H., Muindi, K., ... & Davies, M. (2021). The wicked problem of waste management: An attention-based analysis of stakeholder behaviours. Journal of Cleaner Production, 129200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129200

Symonds, P., Verschoor, N., Chalabi, Z., Taylor, J., & Davies, M. (2021). Home energy efficiency and subjective health in Greater London. Journal of Urban Health, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-021-00513-6

Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Heaviside, C., Chalabi, Z., Davies, M.  & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Projecting the impacts of housing on temperature-related mortality in London during typical future years. Energy and Buildings, 111233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111233 

Taylor, J., & Symonds, P. (2021, May). Estimating spatial variation of moisture risks in English and Welsh dwellings. In International Conference on Moisture in Buildings. http://dx.doi.org/10.14293/ICMB210061

Tsoulou, I., Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Mohajeri, N., & Davies, M. (2021, November). Improving indoor thermal comfort, air quality and the health of older adults through environmental policies in London. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012240). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012240

Turcu, C., Crane, M., Hutchinson, E., Lloyd, S., Belesova, K., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2021). A multi-scalar perspective on health and urban housing: an umbrella review. Buildings and Cities, 2(1), 734-758. http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.119

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Beagley, J., Belesova, K., ... & Costello, A. (2021). The 2020 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises. The Lancet, 397(10269), 129-170. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32290-X

Younkin, S. G., Fremont, H. C., & Patz, J. A. (2021). The Health-Oriented Transportation Model: Estimating the health benefits of active transportation. Journal of Transport & Health, 22, 101103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101103

2020

Callway, R., Pineo, H., & Moore, G. (2020). Understanding the role of standards in the negotiation of a healthy built environment. Sustainability12(23), 9884. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12239884 

Ferguson, L., Taylor, J., Davies, M., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., & Dimitroulopoulou, S. (2020). Exposure to indoor air pollution across socio-economic groups in high-income countries: A scoping review of the literature and a modelling methodology. Environment International, 143, 105748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.105748

Hale, J., Hastings, J., West, R., Lefevre, C. E., Direito, A., Bohlen, L. C., ... & Michie, S. (2020). An ontology-based modelling system (OBMS) for representing behaviour change theories applied to 76 theories. Wellcome Open Research, 5(177), 177. https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-177

Ibbetson, A., Symonds, P., & Hutchinson, E. (2020). Data to support small area health impact modelling of air pollution in the United Kingdom. Data in brief, 29, 105148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.105148

Milner, J., Hamilton, I., Woodcock, J., Williams, M., Davies, M., Wilkinson, P., & Haines, A. (2020). Health benefits of policies to reduce carbon emissions. Bmj, 368. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l6758

Murage, P., Kovats, S., Sarran, C., Taylor, J., McInnes, R., & Hajat, S. (2020). What individual and neighbourhood-level factors increase the risk of heat-related mortality? A case-crossover study of over 185,000 deaths in London using high-resolution climate datasets. Environment international, 134, 105292. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.105292

Niu, Y., Gao, Y., Yang, J., Qi, L., Xue, T., Guo, M., ... & Liu, Q. (2020). Short-term effect of apparent temperature on daily emergency visits for mental and behavioral disorders in Beijing, China: A time-series study. Science of The Total Environment, 139040. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139040

Pineo, H. (2020). Towards healthy urbanism: inclusive, equitable and sustainable (THRIVES)–an urban design and planning framework from theory to praxis. Cities & health, 1-19. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23748834.2020.1769527

Pineo, H., Moore, G., & Braithwaite, I. (2020). Incorporating practitioner knowledge to test and improve a new conceptual framework for healthy urban design and planning. Cities & Health, 1-16. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23748834.2020.1773035

Pineo, H., Audia, C., Black, D., French, M., Gemmell, E., Lovasi, G. S., ... & Siri, J. (2020). Building a Methodological Foundation for Impactful Urban Planetary Health Science. Journal of Urban Health, 1-11. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11524-020-00463-5

Symonds, P., Milner, J., Mohajeri, N., Aplin, J., Hale, J., Lloyd, S. J., ... & Davies, M. (2020). A tool for assessing the climate change mitigation and health impacts of environmental policies: the Cities Rapid Assessment Framework for Transformation (CRAFT). Wellcome Open Research, 5(269), 269. https://dx.doi.org/10.12688%2Fwellcomeopenres.16345.2

Zimmermann, N., Symonds, P., Dianati, K., Baghaei Lakeh, A., Robertson, L., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2020). A participatory process for modelling green infrastructure implementation in London. SALUS Journal. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091476/

Zimmermann, N., Pluchinotta, I., Salvia, G., Touchie, M., Stopps, H., Hamilton, I., ... & Chen, T. (2020). Moving online: reflections from conducting system dynamics workshops in virtual settings. System Dynamics Review. ISO 690 https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1667

2019

Dianati, K., Zimmermann, N., Milner, J., Muindi, K., Ezeh, A., Chege, M., ... & Davies, M. (2019). Household air pollution in Nairobi's slums: A long-term policy evaluation using participatory system dynamics. Science of the Total Environment, 660, 1108-1134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.430

Espinosa, A. V., Symonds, P., & Petrou, G. Modelling the Influence of Layout on Overheating Risk of London Flats. http://www.ibpsa.org/proceedings/BS2019/BS2019_210891.pdf

Li, X., Taylor, J., & Symonds, P. (2019). Indoor overheating and mitigation of converted lofts in London, UK. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology, 40(4), 409-425. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0143624419842044

Petrou, G., Symonds, P., Mavrogianni, A., Mylona, A., & Davies, M. (2019). The summer indoor temperatures of the English housing stock: Exploring the influence of dwelling and household characteristics. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology, 40(4), 492-511. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0143624419847621

Pineo, H., Zimmermann, N., & Davies, M. (2019). Leveraging the Urban Planning System to Shape Healthy Cities. Urban health. https://books.google.co.uk/books?hl=en&lr=&id=HiiPDwAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PT2... 

Sanchez-Guevara, C., Peiró, M. N., Taylor, J., Mavrogianni, A., & González, J. N. (2019). Assessing population vulnerability towards summer energy poverty: Case studies of Madrid and London. Energy and Buildings, 190, 132-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.02.024  

Symonds, P., Rees, D., Daraktchieva, Z., McColl, N., Bradley, J., Hamilton, I., & Davies, M. (2019). Home energy efficiency and radon: An observational study. Indoor air, 29(5), 854-864. https://doi.org/10.1111/ina.12575  

Symonds, P., Hutchinson, E., Ibbetson, A., Taylor, J., Milner, J., Chalabi, Z., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2019). MicroEnv: A microsimulation model for quantifying the impacts of environmental policies on population health and health inequalities. Science of the Total Environment, 697, 134105. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134105

Taylor, J., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., Mackenzie, I., & Davies, M. (2019). Application of an indoor air pollution metamodel to a spatially-distributed housing stock. Science of The Total Environment, 667, 390-399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.341

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Boykoff, M., ... & Chambers, J. (2019). The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. The Lancet, 394(10211), 1836-1878. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32596-6/fulltext

Zimmermann, N., Turcu, C., & Crane, M. (2019, July). Transforming thinking to address climate change in cities: The missing organisational perspective. EGOS-European Group for Organizational Studies. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091865/1/2019%20EGOS%20paper%20c... 

2018

Belesova, K., Hale, J., Aplin, J., Baghaei Lakeh, A., Davies, M., Dianati, K., ... & Taylor, J. (2018, October). Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health: A structured approach to support the development and implementation of city policies for population and planetary health. WHO. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10063088/

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Berry, H., ... & Costello, A. (2018). The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. The Lancet, 392(10163), 2479-2514. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32594-7

Watts, N., Amann, M., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Bouley, T., Boykoff, M., ... & Costello, A. (2018). The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: from 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health. The Lancet, 391(10120), 581-630. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32464-9

Zimmermann, N., Symonds, P., Davies, M., Wilkinson, P., Dianati, K., Taylor, J., & Milner, J. (2018). Urban systems complexity in sustainability and health: an interdisciplinary modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, 2, S21. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30106-2  

Data

Belesova, K., Callaghan, M., Minx, J. C., Creutzig, F., Turcu, C., Hutchinson, E., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Climate action for health and wellbeing in cities: a protocol for the systematic development of a database of peer-reviewed studies using machine learning methods. Wellcome open research, 6.

LSHTM Data Compass: Search strategies for: "Climate action for health and wellbeing in cities: a protocol for the systematic development of a database of peer-reviewed studies using machine learning methods". 

https://doi.org/10.17037/DATA.00002094

Goodess, C., Berk, S., Ratna, S. B., Brousse, O., Davies, M., Heaviside, C., ... & Pineo, H. (2021). Climate change projections for sustainable and healthy cities. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). Data: 

https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Data_for_Climate_change_projection...

Moore, G., Michie, S., Anderson, J., Belesova, K., Crane, M., Deloly, C., ... & Osrin, D. (2021). Developing a programme theory for a transdisciplinary research collaboration: Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health. Wellcome Open Research, 6, 35 

Open Science Framework: CUSSH Programme theory.

https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6EB9S

Symonds, P., Milner, J., Mohajeri, N., Aplin, J., Hale, J., Lloyd, S. J., ... & Davies, M. (2020). A tool for assessing the climate change mitigation and health impacts of environmental policies: the Cities Rapid Assessment Framework for Transformation (CRAFT). Wellcome Open Research, 5(269), 269.

Extended data: Figshare: A tool for assessing the climate change mitigation and health impacts of environmetnal policies. 

https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13011533.v3

https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13011539.v4

https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13125407.v3