UCL Jill Dando Institute of Security and Crime Science

The International Crime and Intelligence Analysis Conference 2012

13-14 December 2012 Manchester, England.

Venue: Manchester Central Conference Centre,  M2 3GX

Crime analysis, intelligence analysis, problem solving, intelligence-led policing, crime mapping, problem-oriented partnerships, crime prevention, criminal investigation

Twitter: #ICIAC12

The UCL Jill Dando Institute of Security and Crime Science hosted the 2012 International Crime and Intelligence Analysis Conference in Manchester, England on the 13th and 14th December.

The conference is THE event for intelligence professionals, community safety officers, investigators, and researchers interested in intelligence-led policing, problem solving, partnership working, crime prevention, and the analysis that underpins decision making.  The conference appeals to practitioners and academics, albeit with all content directed at practical means for improving policing and public safety. 

The conference is primarily a training event through the many classes that are on offer; an opportunity to learn from good practice from the presentation of real world cases, applications and problem solving; from the latest research that has a very strong operationally applied focus; and from key leaders who are innovating new ways for delivering policing and community safety services in difficult economic times.

Presenters' abstracts and slides are available by following the links under the 'Programme' tab.

The programme for the 2012 conference included:

• Keynotes:

  • Goldstein Award POP finalists Greater Manchester Police on their predictive policing work
  • Jerry Ratcliffe, Temple University, on hotspot policing and the Philadelphia Foot Patrol Experiment's long term impact

• Seminar streams: these are chosen from submissions to our call for abstracts. The 2012 programme included sessions on:

  • Social media analysis
  • OCGs
  • Predictive mapping
  • Intelligence models and methods
  • Investigative analysis

• Technical workshops and classes: these provide for a more interactive learning opportunity for delegates. The 2012 programme included sessions on:

  • Analysis requirements of PCCs
  • Hypothesis testing analysis approach
  • Hotspot analysis
  • Problem solving
  • Crime linkage analysis
  • Fraud detection
  • Network analysis
  • Geographical regression 

Conference Steering Group:

1. Spencer Chainey, UCL (Conference Chair)
2. Andrew Brumwell, West Midlands Police
3. Simon Bullock, Home Office
4. John Chapman, Dorset County Council
5. Keith Jackson, UK Association of Crime and Intelligence Analysts
6. Dan Lloyd, Safe Newcastle Partnership
7. Kate Rennie, Cleveland Police
8. David Ottiwell, Greater Manchester New Economy
9. Andrew Newton, Huddersfield University
10. Gordon Stovin, West Mercia Police
11. Lisa Tompson, UCL
12. Chris Williams, Local Government Association

The International Crime and Intelligence Analysis Conference 2012 13-14 December 2012 Manchester, England. Twitter: #ICIAC12

Click the presentation title to view the abstract and download the presenter's slides (where these have been supplied).

Levels: G = General; I = Intermediate; A = Advanced

Conference winners:

Best presentation: Catching a knife-point robber with geographical profiling Christine Leist, Metropolitan Police

Best presentation runner-up: Reducing metal theft in County Durham and Darlington Victoria Price, Durham Constabulary

Best poster: Sussex Street Community - Strategic Profile Garry Seville, Sussex Police

Thursday 13th December 2012

9.00 – 10.15 Registration, refreshments and exhibition

10.15 – 11.30: 1st Plenary (G)

• Welcome Spencer Chainey, Conference Chair

• International Problem-Oriented Policing Goldstein Award Shortlisted Finalists 2012: Repeat victimisation: road to reduction, disrupting the optimal forager Chief Superintendent Mark Roberts, Inspector Vinny Jones and Matt Fielding, Greater Manchester Police

• Exhibitors and Poster Showcase: a series of 60 second showcases from each exhibitor and poster presenter

11.30 – 11.55 – BREAK AND EXHIBITION

12.00 – 13.00: Parallel session 1

1A SEMINAR STREAM - Organised Crime Groups Research (I)

• Organised crime’s infiltration in the legitimate private economy: a network analysis approach Stefano Gurciullo, Computer Science Department and School of Public Policy, University College London
• Assessing the success factors of organized crime groups: intelligence challenges for strategic thinking Jerry Ratcliffe, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University, Philadelphia, USA

1B SEMINAR STREAM – Spatial analysis: from research to practice (G)

• The Application of Journey to Crime Data to the deployment of ANPR Technology Matthew Stiff, West Mercia Police
• Above and Below: examining risk of theft on the transport network Henry Partridge and  Andy Gill, Transport for London, and Andrew Newton, University of Huddersfield

CLASS 1C

• Analysis and intelligence products for Police and Crime Commissioners and Panels (G) Chris Williams, Safer Communities Local Government Association

CLASS 1D

• The principles of problem solving (G) Sylvia Chenery, Applied Criminology Associates

CLASS 1E

• Crime series linkage (G) Avril Robinson, Serious Crime Analysis Section, SOCA

13.00 – 14.00 – LUNCH and EXHIBITION

14.05 – 15.05: Parallel sessions 2

2A SEMINAR STREAM – Social Network Analysis Research (I)

• Beyond the hype – reassessing Social Network Analysis as an intelligence tool William Goodhind, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London
• Identity attribution across CyberSpace and the NaturalSpace D. Hodges, J. Nurse, M. Goldsmith and S. Creese.  Cyber Security Centre, Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford.

2B SEMINAR STREAM - Priority neighbourhoods (G)

• Priority Neighbourhood Mapping Jonathan Bradley, City of Manchester Partnership Team
• Priority Areas: problem solving approach to high demand and need areas Jenny Martin, Chris Lowe, Ciaran Walsh, Becky Clarke-Forrest and Andy Brumwell, West Midlands Police

CLASS 2C

• Getting inside the criminals OODA (Observe Orient Decide Act) loop - timely intelligence analysis (G) JonMichael Teare, Project Manager, CrimeDeter

CLASS 2D

• Detecting fraudulent activity - an intelligence-led approach (I) Martin Gill, Director of Intelligence Services, Keoghs LLP

CLASS 2E

• Advanced hotspot analysis - spatial significance mapping using nearest neighbour analysis and the Gi* statistic (A) Spencer Chainey, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

15.05 – 15.35: BREAK AND EXHIBITION

15.40 – 16.40: Parallel sessions 3

3A SEMINAR STREAM – Spatial and temporal analytical techniques (I)

• Mapping and correlating crime/ASB and Private Sector Housing Using the Gi* Statistic Sophie Curtis-Ham, London Borough of Newham
• Estimating offence times from victim reports Matt Ashby and Kate Bowers, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

3B SEMINAR STREAM - Now for something a little different! (G)

• Exploitation of symbol intelligence Daniel Olson, Cryptanalysis and Racketeering Records Unit, Federal Bureau of Investigation – Laboratory Division, USA
• Forensic tracing of DVD piracy and Organised Crime Groups in the UK Max Vetter, Counterfeiting Intelligence Bureau, Commercial Crime Services, London

CLASS 3C

• IBM i2 Solutions For Effective Law Enforcement: delivering a joined up approach to intelligence-led policing (G) Ron Fellows, Global Subject Matter Expert for Public Safety and Dan Pearson, Client Technical Professional i2, IBM

CLASS 3D

• Identifying the spatial dispersion of crime increase using the Dispersion Calculator (I) Jerry Ratcliffe, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University, Philadelphia, USA

CLASS 3E

• Improving the explanatory content of problem profiles using hypothesis testing (G) Spencer Chainey, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

16.45 – 18.00: DRINKS RECEPTION - join us for a free drink or two, network and chat with our exhibitors

Friday 14th December 2012

9.15 - 9.45 Refreshments and exhibition

9.45 – 10.45: Parallel session 4

4A SEMINAR STREAM – Harm reduction (G)

• Harm Based Priorities: a fresh approach for Strategic Assessments Sam Hepenstal, Hampshire County Council
• Predicting Harm: The Future of Safeguarding Children Fiona Bohan, Devon Multi-Agency Safeguarding Hub, Devon and Cornwall Police

4B SEMINAR STREAM - Crime linkage and investigative analysis (G)

• Linking stranger rapes using fuzzy clustering Don Casey and Phillip Burrell, London South Bank University
• Catching a knife-point robber with geographical profiling Christine Leist, Metropolitan Police

CLASS 4C

• Understanding patterns and relationships in spatial data (I) Brett Rose, ESRI

CLASS 4D

• Measuring repeat and near repeat victimisation (I) Shane Johnson, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

10.45 – 11.15: BREAK AND EXHIBITION

11.20-12.20: Parallel session 5

5A SEMINAR STREAM - From analysis to crime reduction (G)

• SafeStats delivers for Operation Trafalgar: crime reduction in the West End of London Stephen Forgan, Greater London Authority
• Reducing metal theft in County Durham and Darlington Victoria Price, Durham Constabulary

5B SEMINAR STREAM – Risky and emerging places (I)

• Identifying risky places for street robberies: A GIS based analysis of the time geographical vulnerability to street robbery emergence Yasemin Gaziarifoglu, Leslie W.Kennedy and Joel M. Caplan, Rutgers Center on Public Security, USA
• Detecting emerging incident/crime patterns in Central London Tao Cheng and Monsuru Adepeju, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London

CLASS 5C

• How near is ‘near’? Change-point regression as a way to assess the spread of violence around bars (I) Jerry Ratcliffe, Temple University, USA

CLASS 5D

• Self-selection as an investigative tool - shoplifting and the non burgling burglar (G) Gordon Stovin, Principal Crime Intelligence Analyst, West Mercia Police

CLASS 5E

• Time-series analysis (A) Lisa Tompson, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

12.20-13.20 – LUNCH AND EXHIBITION

13.25-14.25: Parallel session 6

6A Seminar stream – Predictive crime mapping (I)

• Burglars don't choose at random, so why should we? A predictive policing randomised controlled trial Toby Davies, Shane Johnson, Kate Bowers, and Ken Pease, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London, and Supt Alex Murray, CI Paul Ditta, Sgt Erica Field, Sgt Clive Baynton and Andy Brumwell, West Midlands Police

• Exploring the impact and effectiveness of the ‘Project Optimal’ burglary reduction initiative in Leeds: a spatio-temporal approach Nicholas Addis, University of Leeds

6B Seminar stream – Intelligence Products and Models (G)

• A generic process model for intelligence agencies Onno Goldbach M.Sc, Netherlands Defense Institute for Security and Intelligence and Dr. E. Dado, Netherlands Defense Academy, The Netherlands

• Partners working together to achieve one goal Erika Sorrenson, Jonathan Borrett & Debbie Unwin, Peninsula Strategic Analytical Team Devon and Cornwall CSPs and Constabulary

Class 6C

• Influencing investigative decision making in the Digital World (I) Andy Orriell, Senior Intelligence Analyst Tactical Operations, Cheshire Constabulary

Class 6D

• Design and crime (G) Aiden Sidebottom, Department of Security and Crime Science, University College London

14.35-15.15: 2nd Plenary (G) 

• Are officer activities the key to violent hotspot reduction?  Evidence and insights from two Philadelphia randomized controlled trials Jerry Ratcliffe, Department of Criminal Justice, Temple University, Philadelphia, USA

15.15: Conference prizes

CLOSE: 15.30

POSTERS

• Testing the impact of group offending on behavioural similarity in serial robbery Amy Burrell and Ray Bull, University of Leicester
• What are they thinking? Perceptions of environmental criminals Charlotte Davies, Environmental Investigation Agency
• Criminals using Online Social Networks: Threats and Defenses Shah Mahmood, University College London
• Utilising social media platforms to improve intelligence and information gathering Steve Postlethwaite, Hampshire County Council
• Sussex Street Community - Strategic Profile Garry Seville, Sussex Police
• How the ‘Good Life’ is threatened in Cyberspace Huma Shah and Kevin Warwick, University of Reading

Twitter: #ICIAC12

The International Crime and intelligence Analysis Conference provides a fantastic opportunity to promote the services and products that are available to the police and community safety intelligence and crime prevention community.

Stand 1: ESRI (SILVER SPONSOR)

GIS software from Esri enables law enforcement personnel to capture and create an integrated picture of information in the form of interactive maps and reports on the desktop, laptop, handheld, or in the emergency vehicle.  GIS allows law enforcement and criminal justice personnel to plan effectively for emergency response, determine mitigation priorities, analyze historical events, and predict future events.  Working with location information, GIS software and solutions from ESRI give you the power to solve problems you encounter every day.

As the leader in GIS technology, Esri offers innovative solutions that will help you create, visualize, analyze, and present information more clearly.  Organizations around the world, as well as local, state, and federal government agencies, are using Esri GIS software to make smart and timely decisions.  Esri provides powerful GIS solutions to more than 300,000 clients in more than 200 countries.  Esri offers GIS solutions to help you unlock the spatial component of your valuable data and see your organization’s information from a new perspective. 

Stand 2: Xanalys

Xanalys was founded to design and develop industry-leading investigation software solutions.

Today our software provides vital support for investigation teams in Banking and Insurance,Corrections and Law Enforcement, Brand Protection and Manufacturing Planning. We’ve successfully deployed solutions to organisations and agencies in Australia, across North America and in the United Kingdom.

Our technology supports a wide range of investigation scenarios, from domain-focussed analytical solutions for analysts and investigators, right up to robust enterprise-level systems for high-profile and high-pressure Major Case Management environments.

Stand 3: IBM

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In Smarter Cities, leaders are employing innovative solutions to create safer and more secure cities, protecting citizens and the city's economic value. By integrating the capabilities of IBM's Smarter Cities portfolio and the i2 portfolio, IBM is enabling cities of all sizes to use analytics-based solutions to keep citizens, businesses and communities safe and economically secure.

Stand 4: Ordnance Survey

Ordnance Survey is Great Britain’s national mapping agency. It is our job to collect, maintain and distribute the most accurate and up-to-date geographic information (GI) of the whole country that government, business and individuals all rely upon.

Since 1 April 2011, all public sector organisations in England and Wales can access Ordnance Survey geographic data “free at the point of use” under the Public Sector Mapping Agreement (PSMA).

The PSMA with over 2800 members helps to deliver significant efficiency savings and improvements in public service delivery, for the benefit of communities and citizens.

Stand 5: Public Engines

PublicEngines’ mission is to help prevent, reduce, and solve crime with easy-to-use, cloud-based solutions that facilitate crime analysis, supply actionable intelligence and increase community engagement.

The company’s products include CrimeReports, the industry’s most popular online crime mapping and engagement solution, used by law enforcement agencies to publish crime data and increase public information flow and interaction; CommandCentral, the leading cloud-based crime intelligence and data visualization tool, providing law enforcement agencies with insightful analytics used to solve and prevent crime; And TipSoft, theindustry’s most widely-adopted tip information and workflow management platform developed for gathering anonymous tips from the public and disseminating alerts. 

PublicEngines’ products are used by more than 2,500 law enforcement organizations worldwide.

Stand 6: CrimeDeter and Oculus Info

Oculus is an award-winning technology and research company, focused on innovative data visualization technologies and services. Oculus develops visualization solutions, including its award winning GeoTime® spatio-temporal 3D visualization and analysis software. Oculus visualization solutions are used daily by customers ranging from defense and military organizations to Fortune 500 companies.

Crime Deter was setup to provide an independent option for communities and companies seeking security advice and management of their security projects including auditing of current systems. Deterrence is not just about punishment or the use of expensive security measures it is about using the tools available to influence criminal behaviour. Towns, charities, retail, infrastructure and banking companies have benefited from our advice, project planning and delivery of performance improving crime reduction strategies. Unlike traditional security companies we take the time to understand your life and business and implement cost effective solutions; rather than sell you security services and products you may not need. These solutions will coexist and improve, rather than impede ,your life and your business.

Stand A: Association of Crime Intelligence Analysts (ACIA)

The Association of Crime and Intelligence Analysts (ACIA) brings together more than 1,200 analysts (and researchers) from both public and private sectors in the UK and Ireland. ACIA member participation is key - it is run by analysts for analysts. It enables members to develop their skills and careers by linking them with like-minded individuals from a diverse range of backgrounds and by providing ways to swap ideas and interact:

• The prestigious ACIA annual awards process now in its fifth year. Winners receive a prize and are entered into an international awards competition in which we have had considerable success. Last year’s winners went on an expenses paid trip to San Diego to collect their international award
• ACIA organises an annual conference, free for members, which provides a fantastic opportunity to meet and share ideas
• The website regular updates on conferences, job vacancies, training opportunities and other relevant information.

Best presentation: Catching a knife-point robber with geographical profiling Christine Leist, Metropolitan Police

Best presentation runner-up: Reducing metal theft in County Durham and Darlington Victoria Price, Durham Constabulary

Best poster: Sussex Street Community - Strategic Profile Garry Seville, Sussex Police