UCL Psychology and Language Sciences


The TOWARD project – Evaluating Impact-based weather warnings

Welcome to our website!

This is our project team from University College London and University of Leeds: Prof Adam Harris, Dr Sarah Jenkins, Dr Henrik Singmann and Caro Echterbeck.


​​About the project

What is TOWARD?

TOWARD (Triangulation Of Warning & Response Data evaluations) is a 3-year project funded by the Met Office Weather and Climate Science for Service Partnership (WCSSP) Southeast Asia project which is supported by the Department for Science, Innovation & Technology (DSIT). It follows the successful completion of the MEIT project (Measuring and Evaluating Impact Threshold) that our team worked on from 2020 until 2024.  


Considerable resources are being invested in building capacity to issue Impact-Based weather Warnings (IBWs) in Southeast Asia. Our project aims to quantify some of the benefits of IBWs. This can benefit our in-country partners in several ways. For instance, quantifying the added value of IBWs can provide evidence to support further funding for capacity building. Furthermore, it is important to identify where benefits are not as large as intended so that appropriate changes can be undertaken to maximise benefits, whether they be related to IBWs themselves, or else more general infrastructure changes. 

Our approach

One approach we undertake to evaluate the effectiveness of IBWs in Southeast Asia is analysing real-world data on how people responded to IBWs in the past and how many losses were avoided due to IBWs (e.g., how many lives were saved). To do so, we first need to understand what approaches to capturing response data in response to warnings currently exist in Southeast Asia what the capacity is for capturing response data, and what extant data gaps there are. We will summarise our findings in a capacity report that we will present to our partners at next year's workshop in Southeast Asia. Moreover, we plan to assist our partners in creating infrastructure and tools for routinely capturing response data in the future. 

Get involved

To give us an initial insight into your thoughts about our project, please fill out the form below. We are not asking for identifying information, but your answers will inform the next steps of our project. If you have colleagues who might have valuable insights, please share the form with them as well. You can also send us an e-mail (caro.echterbeck.22@ucl.ac.uk). 

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