Toby is a Research Associate in Experimental Psychology at UCL. He currently works in the domains of evidential, probabilistic, and causal reasoning, as well as belief updating and cognitive biases. Toby works on applying Bayesian networks to improve reasoning in the domain of Intelligence Analysis for the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), in the Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi (BARD) project team.
He also maintains an active interest in building psychologically informed Agent-Based Models, exploring the intersection of cognitive science and dynamic, complex systems. Toby is an associate member of the Complex Human-Environmental Systems Simulation Laboratory (CoHESSyS) at Oxford University.
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- Widening Access to Bayesian Problem Solving Frontiers in Psychology, 11 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.00660
- Strange but true: Corroboration and base rate neglect. J Exp Psychol Learn Mem Cogn DOI: 10.1037/xlm0000816
- False prophets and Cassandra’s curse: The role of credibility in belief updating ACTA PSYCHOLOGICA, 202 DOI: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2019.102956
- View all publications by Toby Pilditch