Toby is a Research Associate in Experimental Psychology at UCL. He currently works in the domains of evidential, probabilistic, and causal reasoning, as well as belief updating and cognitive biases. Toby works on applying Bayesian networks to improve reasoning in the domain of Intelligence Analysis for the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), in the Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi (BARD) project team.
He also maintains an active interest in building psychologically informed Agent-Based Models, exploring the intersection of cognitive science and dynamic, complex systems. Toby is an associate member of the Complex Human-Environmental Systems Simulation Laboratory (CoHESSyS) at Oxford University.
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- The Zero-Sum Fallacy in Evidence Evaluation Psychological Science DOI: 10.1177/0956797618818484
- Influence and seepage: An evidence-resistant minority can affect public opinion and scientific belief formation Cognition DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2019.01.011
- Large networks of rational agents form persistent echo chambers Scientific Reports DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-25558-7
- View all publications by Toby Pilditch