I carry out experimental research into judgment and decision making. I am particularly interested in how people use their judgment to forecast, monitor and control the behavior of systems. For example, colleagues and I have documented a number of ‘biases’ in the way people make judgmental forecasts from time series data. My other research interests include advice-taking and trust in advisors, the role of feedback in improving judgments and decisions, and calibration of subjective probabilities and confidence judgments.
- Using judgment to select and adjust forecasts from statistical models EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 284 (3), 882-895 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2020.01.028
- Timing of descriptions shapes experience-based risky choice JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING DOI: 10.1002/bdm.2197
- When does more mean worse? Accuracy of judgmental forecasting is nonlinearly related to length of data series Omega, 87, 10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2018.11.009
- View all publications by Nigel Harvey