I carry out experimental research into judgment and decision making. I am particularly interested in how people use their judgment to forecast, monitor and control the behavior of systems. For example, colleagues and I have documented a number of ‘biases’ in the way people make judgmental forecasts from time series data. My other research interests include advice-taking and trust in advisors, the role of feedback in improving judgments and decisions, and calibration of subjective probabilities and confidence judgments.
- The concept of “fatigue” in tackling covid-19. BMJ, 371, m4171-m4171 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m4171
- Behavioural fatigue: Real phenomenon, naive construct, or policy contrivance? Frontiers in Psychology DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.589892
- Using judgment to select and adjust forecasts from statistical models EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 284 (3), 882-895 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2020.01.028
- View all publications by Nigel Harvey