I carry out experimental research into judgment and decision making. I am particularly interested in how people use their judgment to forecast, monitor and control the behavior of systems. For example, colleagues and I have documented a number of ‘biases’ in the way people make judgmental forecasts from time series data. My other research interests include advice-taking and trust in advisors, the role of feedback in improving judgments and decisions, and calibration of subjective probabilities and confidence judgments.
- Forecasting from time series subject to sporadic perturbations: Effectiveness of different types of forecasting support INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 34 (2), 163-180 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.09.007
- Task complexity moderates the influence of descriptions in decisions from experience Cognition, 170, 209-227 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2017.10.005
- Incorporating conflicting descriptions into decisions from experience Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 135, 55-69 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2016.05.005
- View all publications by Nigel Harvey