I carry out experimental research into judgment and decision making. I am particularly interested in how people use their judgment to forecast, monitor and control the behavior of systems. For example, colleagues and I have documented a number of ‘biases’ in the way people make judgmental forecasts from time series data. My other research interests include advice-taking and trust in advisors, the role of feedback in improving judgments and decisions, and calibration of subjective probabilities and confidence judgments.
- When does more mean worse? Accuracy of judgmental forecasting is nonlinearly related to length of data series Omega, 87, 10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2018.11.009
- Digital Identity: The effect of trust and reputation information on user judgement in the Sharing Economy PLOS ONE, 13 (12) DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0209071
- Forecasting from time series subject to sporadic perturbations: Effectiveness of different types of forecasting support INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 34 (2), 163-180 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.09.007
- View all publications by Nigel Harvey