Publications 2025-26

A full list of publications UCL Risk and Disaster Reduction staff and PhD students wrote, co-authored and contributed to during the 2025-26 academic year.

Publications by research theme

  • Aljawhari, K., Gentile, R., and Galasso, C. (2025). Beyond Direct Economic Losses: An Integrated Approach to Seismic Retrofit Considering Sustainability and Indirect Losses. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 54, 1737–1758. https://doi.org/10.1002/EQE.4324
  • Arifin, A., Taylor, R., Shamsudduha, M., and Ramdhan, A. M. (2025). Groundwater storage dynamics and climate variability in the Lower Kutai Basin of Indonesia: reconciling GRACE ΔGWS to piezometry. EGUsphere, 1–34. https://doi.org/10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2025-2941
  • Bhuyan, D. P., Upadhyaya, P., Pathak, R., Namdev, P., Salunke, P., Anand, A., Suresh, A. D., Arora, A., Baraik, S. K., Jain, S., Parihar, R. S., Dwivedi, A., Sahany, S., Sharan, M., Dash, S. K., Fasullo, J. T., Behera, S. K., Tribbia, J. and Mishra, S. K. (2026). Advancing Climate Services in South Asia: The SARCI Framework for Actionable Climate Information and Regional Capacity Building. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107, E564–E584. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0172.1
  • Jahan, F., Bashar, S. K., Naser, A. M., Shamsudduha, M., Rahman, M., Parvez, S. M., Hares, A., Munim, M. S., Hasan, R., Khan, M. A., Islam, N., and Kwong, L. H. (2026). Towards Sustainable Shelter Systems in Climate‑Vulnerable Settlements: Performance of Jute‑Based Composite Housing. SSRN Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.6225225
  • Mehtta, M. (2024). Geoanthropology and the variations of (land) loss: Counter currents of anthropogenic erosion in the Bengal Delta. Journal of Delta Urbanism. https://doi.org/10.59490/JDU.5.2024.8261

  • Carpi, E., and Diab, J. L. (2025). From Syria to Gaza: A Critical Analysis of the Changing Role of Neutrality in Humanitarian Discourse. Journal of Humanitarian Affairs, 7, 38–48. https://doi.org/10.7227/JHA.137
  • Achilli, L., and Carpi, E. (2026). Transregionalizing the Middle East. Middle East Critique, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/19436149.2026.2648948
  • Ioffe, Y. (2026). Refugee rights, family reunification, and the protection of child refugees under the Refugee Convention at 75, International Journal of Refugee Law, eeag012, https://doi.org/10.1093/ijrl/eeag012

  • Baiguera, M., Ayerbe, I. A., Risi, R. D., Zoppo, M. D., Hancilar, U., Himaz, R., Papathoma‑Köhle, M., Rossetto, T., and Stepinac, M. (2026). Vulnerability Modelling. In: Sørensen, M.B., et al. Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis. Mathematics of Planet Earth, vol 14. Springer, Cham. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-98115-9_7
  • Gaspari, M., Galasso, C., and Gentile, R. (2025). Unveiling vulnerabilities: Integrating socioeconomic and physical dimensions in residential exposure modelling. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 125, 105557. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.105557
  • Himaz, R., Salmanidou, D., and Ghaffarian, S. (2026). Machine learning for estimating catastrophic health spending in disaster‑affected, data‑scarce settings. Progress in Disaster Science, 100600. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100600
  • Pakkos, D., Alcamo, J., and Shamsudduha, M. (2026). An updated assessment of arsenic exposure and mitigation effectiveness in Bangladesh’s household water supplies. Water International. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2026.2633948
  • Peters, L. E., Bhatia, H., Chelagat, W., Grewal, G., Kelman, I., Koskey, L., Mwai, G., Mwenja, I., Ogden, E., Rakinyo, A. O., Robbiati, C., and Shannon, G. (2026). Advancing the concept of community positive health through participatory research in marginalized communities in Kenya. Social Science & Medicine, 398, 119147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2026.119147

  • Albuerne, A., Novelli, V., Freddi, F., Black, J., Esper, S., Khalil, Z., Giardina, G., Gentile, R., Vitale, R., Whitworth, M., Maaroufi, A., and Shaimed, H. (2026). Retrofit of Historic Earthen Constructions in Morocco Using Traditional Materials: Evaluation of Impact of the Al Haouz Earthquake. RILEM Bookseries, 68, 1436–1450. https://doi.org/10.1007/978‑3‑032‑16767‑5_112
  • Andrews, B. J., Mildon, Z. K., Jackson, C. A-L., Rodriguez Piceda, C., Iezzi, F., Roberts, G. P., and Faure Walker, J. (2026). Spatial and temporal variations in slip rate over millions of years on an extensional fault system and implications for seismic hazard. Tectonics, 45, e2025TC009239. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025TC009239
  • Arifin, A., Taylor, R. G., Shamsudduha, M., Ramdhan, A. M., Iskandar, I., Setiawan, T., Iman, M. I., and Noor, R. A. (2025). Hydrochemistry of a coastal sedimentary basin: evidence from the Lower Kutai Basin, Indonesia. Applied Geochemistry, 190, 106496. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APGEOCHEM.2025.106496
  • Baddipalli, S., Gentile, R., O’Reilly, G. J., Shahnazaryan, D., and Esteghamati, M. Z. (2025). Impact of modeling decisions on seismic loss and fragility assessment of steel buildings. Earthquake Spectra, 41, 3858–3881. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930251360751
  • Ding, M., Zheng, X. T., Li, D., Li, Z., Chen, H., and Sun, T. (2026). Global Urban‑Rural Differences in Precipitation: Cities See More Light Rain But Milder Extremes. Earth’s Future, 14, e2025EF007370. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF007370
  • Frias, M. C., Kittel, C. M., Nielsen, K., Shamsudduha, M., Hossain, S., Musaeus, A. F., Toettrup, C., and Bauer‑Gottwein, P. (2026). Water surface elevation across the river‑ocean interface from the SWOT mission. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/ESSOAR.177170504.44018148/V1
  • Gentile, R. Modelling flood water ingress in buildings: towards a simplified, orifice-based hydraulic model, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2984, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2984, 2026
  • Gentile, R., Deshpande, T., Ozer, E., Amatya, S., Shrestha, N., Guragain, R., Pelling, M., and Sinclair, H. (2025). Tomorrow’s Cities risk agreement approach: utilising the analytical, communication and convening power of science for inclusive, risk‑sensitive urban planning. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 128, 105659. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.105659
  • Himaz, R., Farber, V., and Sagala, S. (2026). Financial instrument bundling under multiple market failures: a household risk layering approach. University of Oxford.
  • Iezzi, F., Sgambato, C., Roberts, G., Mildon, Z., Robertson, J., Faure Walker, J., Papanikolaou, I., Michetti, A.M., Mitchell, S., Shanks, R., Phillips, R., McCaffrey, K.J.W., and Vittori, E. (2025) ‘Structural controls on simultaneous earthquake clustering and normal fault synchronization’, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 671, 119686. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2025.119686
  • Meschis, M., Mildon, Z.K., Roberts, G.P., Sgambato, C., Livio, F., Michetti, A.M., Robertson, J., Faure Walker, J., Iezzi, F., Gattuso, A., Barberio, M.D., Randazzo, P., Caracausi, A. (2026) Empirical scaling relationships between fault length and throw‑rates modulated by fault interactions in extensional regimes’, Tectonics, 45, e2025TC009001. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025TC009001
  • Mitchell, S., Sgambato, C., Robertson, J., Roberts, G.P., Faure Walker, J., Mildon, Z., Ganas, A., Papanikolaou, I., Iezzi, F., Beck, J., Binnie, S.A., Dunai, T., López, D.A., Deligiannakis, G., Mechernich, S., Reicherter, K. and Rugen, E.J. (2025) Multi‑millennia slip rate relationships between closely spaced across‑strike faults: Temporal earthquake clustering of the Skinos and Pisia Faults, Greece, from in situ 36Cl cosmogenic exposure dating Journal of Structural Geology, 198, 105445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsg.2025.105445
  • McMillan, L., Pescaroli, G., Gordon, M., Maraschini, M., Torresan, S., Palma‑Oliveira, J., Rosa, B., Sarroeira, A., Trump, B. D., and Linkov, I. (2026). High impact low probability events: research landscape and future opportunities. Natural Hazards, 122, 388–. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11069‑026‑08107‑8
  • Mei, S., Hu, S., and Sun, T. (2026). Urban Ventilation in Light‑Wind Conditions. EGU26. https://doi.org/10.5194/EGUSPHERE‑EGU26‑1768
  • Merino, R. J., Gentile, R., and Galasso, C. (2026). Analytical Floor Response Spectra for Performance‑Based Seismic Design of Non‑structural Elements in Reinforced Concrete Frame Buildings. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 55, 1292–1312. https://doi.org/10.1002/EQE.70136
  • Miura, Y., Shamsudduha, M., Suppasri, A., Taylor, R. G., and Sano, D. (2026). Adaptive thresholding of Sentinel‑1 SAR backscatter informed by land use and land cover for surface water detection. SSRN. https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.6470341
  • Nagkoulis, N., Shamsudduha, M., Anagnostou, E., and Bagtzoglou, A. (2025). Modeling groundwater levels using satellite images and machine learning. Hydrogeology Journal, 33, 1789–1802. https://doi.org/10.1007/S10040‑025‑02960‑W
  • Nettis, A., Gentile, R., Raffaele, D., and Uva, G. (2026). Accuracy of simplified loss assessment strategies for loss‑based seismic design for reinforced concrete bridges. Procedia Structural Integrity, 78, 1412–1419. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PROSTR.2025.12.180
  • Park, J., Adamo, S. B., Awad Ahmed, Q., Barra, R. O., Davies, J., Dickella Gamaralalage, P. J., Himaz, R., Kamei, M., Liu, J., Lopez‑Carr, D., Murthy, I. K., Osabuohien, E., Relicovschi, A. M., Ren, C., Sungkur, R. K., Thornton, T. F., Varazzani, C., Villegas, S., and Yu, L. (2025). Historical, Current, and Projected Drivers and Pressures of Environmental Change. Global Environment Outlook 7, 29–82. United Nations Environment Programme. https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/49014
  • Pazola, A., Shamsudduha, M., Taylor, R. G., and Tucker, A. (2025). Predicting and Interpolating Spatiotemporal Environmental Data: A Case Study of Groundwater Storage in Bangladesh. [No journal listed].
  • Pescaroli, G., McMillan, L., Gordon, M., Aydin, N. Y., Comes, T., Maraschini, M., Oliveira, J. P., Torresan, S., Trump, B., Pelling, M., and Linkov, I. (2025). Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 127, 105504. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.105504
  • Rahman, A. Z., Shamsudduha, M., Haq, M. I., Hanif, M., Islam, M. S., Islam, S. S., Biswas, A., and Taylor, R. G. (2025). Soil and river water salinity dynamics in coastal Bangladesh. Scientific Reports, 16, 1044. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598‑025‑30639‑5
  • Rahmatollahi, N., Wang, Y., Sun, T., and Wang, Z. H. (2025). Modeling urban land surface dynamics using ASLUM‑Py. Journal of Environmental Management, 392, 126840. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2025.126840
  • Retegui‑Schiettekatte, L., Girotto, M., Schumacher, M., Shamsudduha, M., Madsen, H., and Forootan, E. (2026). Enhancing hydrological representation of the Brahmaputra basin through data assimilation. EGUsphere, 1–49. https://doi.org/10.5194/EGUSPHERE‑2025‑5625
  • Robertson, J., Sgambato, C., Roberts, G., Mildon, Z., Faure Walker, J., Iezzi, F., Mitchell, S., Ganas, A., Papanikolaou, I., Rugen, E., Tsironi, V., Beck, J., Mechernich, S., Deligiannakis, G., Binnie, S., Dunai, T. and Reicherter, K.(2025) Consistency between the slip history implied by in situ 36Cl exposure dating on an active normal fault and the timing of Holocene coastal notch formation, central Greece, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 130, e2024JB030293. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JB030293
  • Rudman, A., Tubaldi, E., Gentile, R., and Douglas, J. (2026). Covariance Structure Modeling of Engineering Demand Parameters in Cloud‑Based Seismic Analysis. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 55, 1533–1551. https://doi.org/10.1002/EQE.70151
  • Tami, D., Gentile, R., Prabhu, S., and Carenzo, M. (2026). Machine Learning for Liquefaction Hazard Mapping: A Case Study for New Zealand. EGU26. https://doi.org/10.5194/EGUSPHERE‑EGU26‑3040

  • Lagap, U., Ghaffarian, S., Gelinas-Gagne, S., Jilma, J., Liu, Z. and Luo, Z. (2025) Towards reliable deep learning for post-disaster damage assessment: An XAI-based evaluation, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 130, p. 105839. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105839
  • Moreau, A. and Dryhurst, S. (2025) Exploring the concept of “community resilience”: A case study of Scottish emergency management discourse and its practical implications for the city of Glasgow, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 129, p. 105766. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105766
  • Yore, R., Fearnley, C., Fordham, M., and Kelman, I. (2025). Disability‑inclusive warnings. In An Introduction to Disability Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction: Intersecting Terrains, 229–250. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003353188‑12
  • Yore, R., Faure Walker, J., and Suppasri, A. (2025). Transitions to recovery: The shelter and housing journey following disaster. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 128, 105726. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJDRR.2025.1057

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