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Micro Macro Household Finance Seminar - Dmytro Sergeyev

23 June 2023, 3:30 pm–5:00 pm

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The Economics of Financial Stress with discussion by Pedro Bordalo

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Alan Olivi

Abstract: We study the psychological costs of financial constraints and their economic consequences. Using a representative survey of U.S. households, we document the prevalence of financial stress in U.S. households and a strong correlation between financial stress and measures of financial constraints. We incorporate financial stress into an otherwise standard dynamic model of consumption and labor supply. We emphasize three key results. First, a psychology based theory of poverty traps requires two equally important components: financial stress itself and naïveté about financial stress. Specifically, sophisticates save enough to escape high stress states, understanding that doing so alleviates the economic consequences of financial stress. On the other hand, naifs dis-save, fall into a poverty trap, and incur high welfare losses. Second, the financial stress channel can reverse the counterfactual negative wealth effect of labor supply because relieving stress releases cognitive resources for productive work. Third, financial stress has macroeconomic implications on wealth inequality and fiscal multipliers.

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