"Climate Modelling of Extreme Weather Events in Turkey: An Assessment of the Relative Roles of Global and Regional Climate Drivers in Any Change"
PhD project title:
Regional Climate Modelling and Analysis of Observed and Modelled Trends in Extreme Weather Events in Turkey: An Assessment of the Relative Roles of Global and Regional Climate Drivers in Any Changes.
Ferhat is a PhD student sponsored by The Republic of Turkey at UCL. He has a background in Environmental Engineering, in particular air pollution and modelling. After his graduation, he spent his 2 years on air dispersion modelling with meteorological and terrain data processing in Turkey. During his years at UCL, he is keen on gaining more knowledge regarding climate models especially at the regional level, data analyses and approaches to adaptation policies.
Climate change has become one of the most serious environmental problems in the world with increased concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases (GHGs) due to massive industrialization and widespread use of fossil fuels in the last century. In addition, extreme weather events can have large impacts on society and, in many regions, may be expected to change in frequency and intensity with climate change.
Advances in regional climate modelling might allow representation of fine scale features of climate/weather (such as land–sea breeze, rain shadows, and windstorms), for an area about the size of Turkey. The regional modelling programme will be used to better understand changes in climate and weather conditions and compare these with meteorological data collected from regional Meteorological Stations in Turkey. Currently, I am collecting and analysing meteorological data for the presence of extreme weather events. Any trends in observed extreme events will be assessed. Finally, by using environmental or climatological models, future predictions will also be done to assess how the values for extreme events change and also determine how Turkey might best take precautions to adapt to future impacts and changes. This research has this last point as one of its real purposes.