Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health





Clare, K., Maani, N., & Milner, J. (2022). Meat, money and messaging: How the environmental and health harms of red and processed meat consumption are framed by the meat industry. Food Policy109, 102234. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102234

Iddi, S., Muindi, K., Gitau, H., & Mberu, B. (2022). Characterization of Healthy Housing in Africa: Method, Profiles, and Determinants. Journal of Urban Health, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-021-00603-5

Lunetto, M., Hale, J., & Michie, S. (2022). achieving effective climate action in cities by understanding behavioral systems. One Earth, 5(7), 745-748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.06.009

O'Keeffe, J., Pluchinotta, I., De Stercke, S., Hinson, C., Puchol-Salort, P., Mijic, A., ... & Collins, A. M. (2022). Evaluating natural capital performance of urban development through system dynamics: A case study from London. Science of The Total Environment, 153673. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153673

Petrou, G., Mavrogianni, A., Symonds, P., & Davies, M. (2022, October). Beyond Normal: Guidelines on How to Identify Suitable Model Input Distributions for Building Performance Analysis. International Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA). https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10136381/

Salvia, G., Pluchinotta, I., Tsoulou, I., Moore, G., & Zimmermann, N. (2022). Understanding Urban Green Space Usage through Systems Thinking: A Case Study in Thamesmead, London. Sustainability, 14(5), 2575. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052575

Tsoulou, I., Jain, N., Oikonomou, E., Petrou, G., Howard, A., Gupta, R., ... & Davies, M. (2022, January). Assessing the Current and Future Risk of Overheating in London’s Care Homes: The Effect of Passive Ventilation. International Building Performance Simulation Association (IBPSA). https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10137961/

Xu, M., Chang, N., Tu, T., Sun, J., Jiang, J., Xia, Y., ... & Liu, Q. (2022). Economic burden of dengue fever in China: A retrospective research study. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases16(5), e0010360. https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0010360


Belesova, K., Callaghan, M., Minx, J. C., Creutzig, F., Turcu, C., Hutchinson, E., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Climate action for health and wellbeing in cities: a protocol for the systematic development of a database of peer-reviewed studies using machine learning methods. Wellcome open research, 6. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16570.1 

Crane, M., Lloyd, S., Haines, A., Ding, D., Hutchinson, E., ... & Turcu, C. (2021). Transforming cities for sustainability: A health perspective. Environment International, 147, 106366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.106366

Davies, M., Belesova, K., Crane, M., Hale, J., Haines, A., Hutchinson, E., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). The CUSSH programme: learning how to support cities’ transformational change towards health and sustainability. Wellcome Open Research, 6(100), 100. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16678.1

Deloly, C., Roué-Le Gall, A., Moore, G., Bretelle, L., Milner, J., Mohajeri, N., ... & Davies, M. (2021). Relationship-building around a policy decision-support tool for urban health. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://dx.doi.org/10.5334/bc.110

Dianati, K., Schafer, L., Milner, J., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Gitau, H., Hale, J., ...& Davies, M. (2021). A system dynamics-based scenario analysis of residential solid waste management in Kisumu, Kenya. Science of the Total Environment. 777., 146200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146200  

Eustachio Colombo, P., Milner, J., Scheelbeek, P. F., Taylor, A., Parlesak, A., Kastner, T., ... & Green, R. (2021). Pathways to" 5-a-day": modeling the health impacts and environmental footprints of meeting the target for fruit and vegetable intake in the United Kingdom. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, nqab076. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqab076 

Ferguson, L., Taylor, J., Zhou, K., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., Davies, M., & Dimitroulopoulou, S. (2021). Systemic inequalities in indoor air pollution exposure in London, UK. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.100

Goodess, C., Berk, S., Ratna, S. B., Brousse, O., Davies, M., Heaviside, C., ... & Pineo, H. (2021). Climate change projections for sustainable and healthy cities. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). https://dx.doi.org/10.5334%2Fbc.111 Data available at: https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Data_for_Climate_change_projection...

Hamilton, I., Kennard, H., McGushin, A., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Kiesewetter, G., Lott, M., ... & Watts, N. (2021). The public health implications of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, 5(2), e74-e83. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30249-7

Lu, S., Symonds, P., Verschoor, N., Chalabi, Z., Taylor, J., & Davies, M. (2021, November). Use of Beta Regression to investigate the link between home air infiltration rate and self-reported health. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012178). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012178

Mavrogianni, A., Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Oikonomou, E., Pineo, H., Zimmermann, N., & Davies, M. (2021). Cool Cities by Design: Shaping a Healthy and Equitable London in a Warming Climate. In Urban Climate Science for Planning Healthy Cities (pp. 71-98). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87598-5_4

Milner, J., Davies, M., Haines, A., Huxley, R., Michie, S., Robertson, L., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Emerging from COVID-19: Lessons for Action on Climate Change and Health in Cities. Journal of Urban Health. 1-5. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11524-020-00501-2   

Mohajeri, N., Walch, A., Gudmundsson, A., Heaviside, C., Askari, S., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2021). Covid-19 mobility restrictions: impacts on urban air quality and health. Buildings & Cities, 2(1), 759-778. http://dx.doi.org/10.5334/bc.124

Moore, G., Michie, S., Anderson, J., Belesova, K., Crane, M., Deloly, C., ... & Osrin, D. (2021). Developing a programme theory for a transdisciplinary research collaboration: Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health. Wellcome Open Research, 6, 35. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16542.1 

Niu, Y., Li, Z., Gao, Y., Liu, X., Xu, L., Vardoulakis, S., ... & Liu, Q. (2021). A Systematic Review of the Development and Validation of the Heat Vulnerability Index: Major Factors, Methods, and Spatial Units. Current climate change reports7(3), 87-97. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-021-00173-3

Patterson, E., Eustachio Colombo, P., Milner, J., Green, R., & Elinder, L. S. (2021). Potential health impact of increasing adoption of sustainable dietary practices in Sweden. BMC public health, 21(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11256-z 

Petrou, G., Mavrogianni, A., Symonds, P., & Davies, M. (2021, November). A case study on the impact of fixed input parameter values in the modelling of indoor overheating. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012137). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012137

Pineo, H., & Moore, G. (2021). Built environment stakeholders' experiences of implementing health urban development: an exploratory study. Cities & Health, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1080/23748834.2021.1876376 

Pineo, H., Turnbull, E. R., Davies, M., Rowson, M., Hayward, A. C., Hart, G., ... & Aldridge, R. W. (2021). A new transdisciplinary research model to investigate and improve the health of the public. Health Promotion International. https://doi.org/10.1093/heapro/daaa125 

Pineo, H., Zhou, K., Niu, Y., Hale, J., Willan, C., Crane, M., ... & Davies, M. (2021). Evidence-informed urban health and sustainability governance in two Chinese cities. Buildings and Cities, 2(1). http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.90 

Pluchinotta, I., Salvia, G., & Zimmermann, N. (2021). The importance of eliciting stakeholders’ system boundary perceptions for problem structuring and decision-making. European Journal of Operational Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.12.029

Salvia, G., Zimmermann, N., Willan, C., Hale, J., Gitau, H., Muindi, K., ... & Davies, M. (2021). The wicked problem of waste management: An attention-based analysis of stakeholder behaviours. Journal of Cleaner Production, 129200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129200

Symonds, P., Verschoor, N., Chalabi, Z., Taylor, J., & Davies, M. (2021). Home energy efficiency and subjective health in Greater London. Journal of Urban Health, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11524-021-00513-6

Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Heaviside, C., Chalabi, Z., Davies, M.  & Wilkinson, P. (2021). Projecting the impacts of housing on temperature-related mortality in London during typical future years. Energy and Buildings, 111233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2021.111233 

Taylor, J., & Symonds, P. (2021, May). Estimating spatial variation of moisture risks in English and Welsh dwellings. In International Conference on Moisture in Buildings. http://dx.doi.org/10.14293/ICMB210061

Tsoulou, I., Taylor, J., Symonds, P., Mohajeri, N., & Davies, M. (2021, November). Improving indoor thermal comfort, air quality and the health of older adults through environmental policies in London. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 2069, No. 1, p. 012240). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012240

Turcu, C., Crane, M., Hutchinson, E., Lloyd, S., Belesova, K., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2021). A multi-scalar perspective on health and urban housing: an umbrella review. Buildings and Cities, 2(1), 734-758. http://doi.org/10.5334/bc.119

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Beagley, J., Belesova, K., ... & Costello, A. (2021). The 2020 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises. The Lancet, 397(10269), 129-170. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32290-X

Younkin, S. G., Fremont, H. C., & Patz, J. A. (2021). The Health-Oriented Transportation Model: Estimating the health benefits of active transportation. Journal of Transport & Health, 22, 101103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101103


Ferguson, L., Taylor, J., Davies, M., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., & Dimitroulopoulou, S. (2020). Exposure to indoor air pollution across socio-economic groups in high-income countries: A scoping review of the literature and a modelling methodology. Environment International, 143, 105748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2020.105748

Hale, J., Hastings, J., West, R., Lefevre, C. E., Direito, A., Bohlen, L. C., ... & Michie, S. (2020). An ontology-based modelling system (OBMS) for representing behaviour change theories applied to 76 theories. Wellcome Open Research, 5(177), 177. https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-177

Ibbetson, A., Symonds, P., & Hutchinson, E. (2020). Data to support small area health impact modelling of air pollution in the United Kingdom. Data in brief, 29, 105148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.105148

Milner, J., Hamilton, I., Woodcock, J., Williams, M., Davies, M., Wilkinson, P., & Haines, A. (2020). Health benefits of policies to reduce carbon emissions. Bmj, 368. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l6758

Murage, P., Kovats, S., Sarran, C., Taylor, J., McInnes, R., & Hajat, S. (2020). What individual and neighbourhood-level factors increase the risk of heat-related mortality? A case-crossover study of over 185,000 deaths in London using high-resolution climate datasets. Environment international, 134, 105292. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.105292

Niu, Y., Gao, Y., Yang, J., Qi, L., Xue, T., Guo, M., ... & Liu, Q. (2020). Short-term effect of apparent temperature on daily emergency visits for mental and behavioral disorders in Beijing, China: A time-series study. Science of The Total Environment, 139040. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139040

Pineo, H. (2020). Towards healthy urbanism: inclusive, equitable and sustainable (THRIVES)–an urban design and planning framework from theory to praxis. Cities & health, 1-19. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23748834.2020.1769527

Pineo, H., Moore, G., & Braithwaite, I. (2020). Incorporating practitioner knowledge to test and improve a new conceptual framework for healthy urban design and planning. Cities & Health, 1-16. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23748834.2020.1773035

Pineo, H., Audia, C., Black, D., French, M., Gemmell, E., Lovasi, G. S., ... & Siri, J. (2020). Building a Methodological Foundation for Impactful Urban Planetary Health Science. Journal of Urban Health, 1-11. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11524-020-00463-5

Symonds, P., Milner, J., Mohajeri, N., Aplin, J., Hale, J., Lloyd, S. J., ... & Davies, M. (2020). A tool for assessing the climate change mitigation and health impacts of environmental policies: the Cities Rapid Assessment Framework for Transformation (CRAFT). Wellcome Open Research, 5(269), 269. https://dx.doi.org/10.12688%2Fwellcomeopenres.16345.2

Zimmermann, N., Symonds, P., Dianati, K., Baghaei Lakeh, A., Robertson, L., Wilkinson, P., & Davies, M. (2020). A participatory process for modelling green infrastructure implementation in London. SALUS Journal. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091476/

Zimmermann, N., Pluchinotta, I., Salvia, G., Touchie, M., Stopps, H., Hamilton, I., ... & Chen, T. (2020). Moving online: reflections from conducting system dynamics workshops in virtual settings. System Dynamics Review. ISO 690 https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1667


Dianati, K., Zimmermann, N., Milner, J., Muindi, K., Ezeh, A., Chege, M., ... & Davies, M. (2019). Household air pollution in Nairobi's slums: A long-term policy evaluation using participatory system dynamics. Science of the Total Environment, 660, 1108-1134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.430

Espinosa, A. V., Symonds, P., & Petrou, G. Modelling the Influence of Layout on Overheating Risk of London Flats. http://www.ibpsa.org/proceedings/BS2019/BS2019_210891.pdf

Li, X., Taylor, J., & Symonds, P. (2019). Indoor overheating and mitigation of converted lofts in London, UK. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology, 40(4), 409-425. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0143624419842044

Petrou, G., Symonds, P., Mavrogianni, A., Mylona, A., & Davies, M. (2019). The summer indoor temperatures of the English housing stock: Exploring the influence of dwelling and household characteristics. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology, 40(4), 492-511. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0143624419847621

Pineo, H., Zimmermann, N., & Davies, M. (2019). Leveraging the Urban Planning System to Shape Healthy Cities. Urban health. https://books.google.co.uk/books?hl=en&lr=&id=HiiPDwAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PT2... 

Sanchez-Guevara, C., Peiró, M. N., Taylor, J., Mavrogianni, A., & González, J. N. (2019). Assessing population vulnerability towards summer energy poverty: Case studies of Madrid and London. Energy and Buildings, 190, 132-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.02.024  

Symonds, P., Rees, D., Daraktchieva, Z., McColl, N., Bradley, J., Hamilton, I., & Davies, M. (2019). Home energy efficiency and radon: An observational study. Indoor air, 29(5), 854-864. https://doi.org/10.1111/ina.12575  

Symonds, P., Hutchinson, E., Ibbetson, A., Taylor, J., Milner, J., Chalabi, Z., ... & Wilkinson, P. (2019). MicroEnv: A microsimulation model for quantifying the impacts of environmental policies on population health and health inequalities. Science of the Total Environment, 697, 134105. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134105

Taylor, J., Shrubsole, C., Symonds, P., Mackenzie, I., & Davies, M. (2019). Application of an indoor air pollution metamodel to a spatially-distributed housing stock. Science of The Total Environment, 667, 390-399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.341

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Boykoff, M., ... & Chambers, J. (2019). The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. The Lancet, 394(10211), 1836-1878. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32596-6/fulltext

Zimmermann, N., Turcu, C., & Crane, M. (2019, July). Transforming thinking to address climate change in cities: The missing organisational perspective. EGOS-European Group for Organizational Studies. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10091865/1/2019%20EGOS%20paper%20c... 


Belesova, K., Hale, J., Aplin, J., Baghaei Lakeh, A., Davies, M., Dianati, K., ... & Taylor, J. (2018, October). Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health: A structured approach to support the development and implementation of city policies for population and planetary health. WHO. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10063088/

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Berry, H., ... & Costello, A. (2018). The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. The Lancet, 392(10163), 2479-2514. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32594-7

Watts, N., Amann, M., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Bouley, T., Boykoff, M., ... & Costello, A. (2018). The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: from 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health. The Lancet, 391(10120), 581-630. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32464-9

Zimmermann, N., Symonds, P., Davies, M., Wilkinson, P., Dianati, K., Taylor, J., & Milner, J. (2018). Urban systems complexity in sustainability and health: an interdisciplinary modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, 2, S21. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30106-2