Statistical Science Seminars

Usual time: Thursdays 16:00 - 17:00 

Location: Room 102, Department of Statistical Science, 1-19 Torrington Place (1st floor).

Some seminars are held in different locations at different times.  Click on the abstract for more details.

8 October: Richard Pymar (University College London)

Mixing time of the exclusion process on hypergraphs

We introduce a process defined on hypergraphs and study its mixing time. This process can be viewed as an extension of the exclusion process to hypergraphs. Using a tool introduced by Morris and developed by Oliveira called the chameleon process, for any hypergraph within a certain class, we prove an upper-bound on the mixing time of the exclusion process in terms of the mixing time of a simple random walk on the same hypergraph. This is joint work with Stephen Connor.

9 October, 2-3pm: Alberto Cassese (Maastricht University)

A Hierarchical Bayesian Model for Inference of Copy Number Variants and Their Association with Gene Expression

Cancer is the result of a dynamic interplay at different molecular levels (DNA, mRNA and protein). Elucidating the association between two or more of these levels would enable the identification of biological relationships and lead to improvements in cancer diagnosis and treatment. For this purpose the development of statistical methodologies able to identify these relationships is crucial. In this talk, I present a model for the integration of high-throughput data from different sources. In particular, I focus on combining transcriptomics data (gene expression profiling) with genomic data, collected on the same subjects. At DNA level I focus on measuring copy number variation (CNV) using comparative genomic hybridization (CGH) arrays. I specify a measurement error model that relates the gene expression levels to latent copy number states. Selection of relevant associations is performed employing selection priors that explicitly incorporate dependencies information across adjacent copy number states. Copy number states are related to the observed surrogate CGH measurements via a hidden Markov model, which captures their peculiar state persistence. Posterior inference is carried out through Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. In order to tackle the computational issue, I develop an algorithm that efficiently explores the space of all possible associations. The contribution of the methodology is twofold: infer copy number variation and, simultaneously, their association with gene expression. The performance of the method is shown on simulated data and I also illustrate an application to data from a prostate cancer study.

15 October: Noémi Kreif (London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine)

Estimating counterfactual means of static and dynamic interventions in critical care

22 October: Vanessa Didelez (University of Bristol)

Robustness and Efficiency of Covariate Adjusted Linear Instrumental Variable Methods

Instrumental variables provide an approach for consistent inference on causal effects even in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Such methods have for instance been used in the context of Mendelian randomisation, as well as in pharmaco-epidemiological contexts. In these and other applications, it is common that covariates are available, even if deemed insufficient to adjust for all confounding. As IVs allow inference when there is unobserved confounding, it appears that often the analyst assumes that even observed confounders / covariates do not need to or should not be taken into account. However, this is not generally the case. With view to the role of covariates, we here contrast two-stage-least-squares estimators, generalized methods of moment estimators and variants thereof with methods more common in biostatistics using G-estimation in so-called structural mean models.

When using covariates, there are structural aspects to be considered, e.g. whether the covariates are prior to or potentially affected by the instruments. But in addition, one has to worry even more about efficiency versus model misspecification when modelling covariates. We discuss this for the IV procedures mentioned above, especially for linear instrumental variable models. Our results motivate adaptive procedures that guarantee efficiency improvements through covariate adjustment, without the need for covariate selection strategies. Besides theoretical findings, simulation results will be shown to provide numerical insight.

(This is joint work with Stijn Vansteelandt)

19 November: Sunil Chhita (University of Bonn)

8 December, 12noon-1pm: Yang Wu (Nara Institute of Science and Technology)

10 December: Achim Zeileis (University of Innsbruck)

17 December: Ruth Keogh (London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine)

Affiliated Seminars