Research Reports
This page contains a list of Research Reports published by the Department of Statistical Science at University College London. The more recent reports are in PDF format and the older reports are generally in PostScript format (zipped).
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Research Reports From 2012 | |
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320 |
Rejecting an empirical `person-based' formula for funding CCGs in favour of the farming analogue of one-year-ahead extrapolation |
M Stone |
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318 |
Semiparametric estimation of the extremal index using block maxima |
PJ Northrop |
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317 |
Maximum-likelihood estimation of lithospheric flexural rigidity, initial-loading fraction, and load correlation, under isotropy |
FJ Simons and SC Olhede |
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316 |
Covariance of Replicated Modulated Cyclical Time Series |
SC Olhede and H Ombao |
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315 |
A Penalized Likelihood Estimation Approach to Semiparametric Sample Selection Binary Response Modelling |
G Marra and R Radice |
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Research Reports From 2011 | |
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314 |
Estimating a smooth baseline hazard function for the Cox model |
P Royston |
| 313 | Coverage Properties of Confidence Intervals for Generalized Additive Model Components | G Marra and SN Wood |
| 312 | Further Development of Bartlett-Lewis model for fine-resolution rainfall | J Kaczmarska |
| 311 | Exploiting strength, discounting weakness: combining information from multiple climate simulators | RE Chandler |
| 310 | Learning the Ambiguity Surface | S Olhede |
| Research Reports From 2010 | ||
| 309 | A Flexible Instrumental Variable Approach | G Marra and R Radice |
| 308 | Comparing latent class and dissimilarity based clustering for mixed type variables with application to social stratification | C Hennig and T Liao |
| 307 | External validation and updating of a prognostic survival model | P Royston, MKB Parmar and DG Altman |
| 306 | Modelling spatially-dependent non-stationary extremes with application to hurricane-induced wave heights | P Northrop and P Jonathan |
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Research Reports From 2009 | |
| 305 | On the Analytic Wavelet Transform | JM Lilly and SC Olhede |
| 304 | Mathematical Models and Reality - a Constructivist Perspective | C Hennig |
| 303 | Within-subject comparison of changes in a pretest-posttest design | C Hennig, D Müllensiefen and J Bargmann |
| 302 | Methods for merging Gaussian mixture components | C Hennig |
| 301 | Spending billions with t, F, R2 , RESET and a bootstrap | M Stone |
| 300 | Bivariate Instantaneous Frequency and Bandwidth | JM Lilly and SC Olhede |
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Research Reports From 2008 | |
| 299 | M Stone | |
| 298 | Valuing a Gas-Fired Power Plant: a Comparison of Ordinary Linear Models, Regime-Switching Approaches, and Models with Stochastic Volatility | S Heydari and A Siddiqui |
| 297 | How to Proceed with the Thorium Nuclear Technology: a Real Options Analysis | A Siddiqui and S-E Fleten |
| 296 | Risk Analysis of Interruptible Load Contracts | P Rocha and A Siddiqui |
| 295 | A decision-theoretic framework for the application of cost-effectiveness analysis in regulatory processes | G Baio and P Russo |
| 294 | A framework for interpreting climate model outputs | NA Leith and RE Chandler |
| 293 | Estimation of Ambiguity Functions With Limited Spread | H Hindberg and SC Olhede |
| 292 | Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis in Health Economics | G Baio and AP Dawid |
| 291 | Adjusting for patients’ clinical case mix explains variation in general practice prescribing | C O'Sullivan, RZ Omar, I Petersen, A Islam and AF Majeed |
| 290 | Multiscale Inference for High-Frequency Data | A Sykulski, SC Olhede and GA Pavliotis |
| 289 | On the Design of Optimal Analytic /.Wavelets | JM Lilly and SC Olhede |
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Research Reports From 2007 | |
| 288 | Modelling data observed irregularly over space and regularly in time | C Dimitriou-Fakalou |
| 287 | Moments Estimators for Moving-Average Models on Zd | C Dimitriou-Fakalou |
| 286 | Modifed Gaussian Likelihood Estimators for ARMA Models on Zd | C Dimitriou-Fakalou |
| 285 | Transmission Investment Timing and Sizing under Uncertainty | A Siddiqui and H Gupta |
| 284 | Distributed Generation Investment by a Microgrid under Uncertainty | A Siddiqui and C Marnay |
| 283 | Investment and Upgrade in Distributed Generation under Uncertainty | A Siddiqui and K Maribu |
| 282 | Optimal Technology Selection and Operation of Microgrids in Commercial Buildings? | C Marnay, G Venkataramanan, M Stadler, A Siddiqui, R Firestone and B Chandran |
| 281 | Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks for Paternity Cases with Allelic Dependencies | AB Hepler and BS Weir |
| 280 | Measurement error in binary regression | T Fearn, DC Hill and SC Darby |
| 279 | Fundamentals of statistical causality | AP Dawid |
| 278 | On predictive probability matching priors | TJ Sweeting |
| 277 | Point process models of rainfall: Developments for fine-scale structure | P Cowpertwait, V Isham, and Christian Onof |
| 276 | Some thoughts about the design of loss functions | C Hennig and M Kutlukaya |
| 275 | Object-Oriented Graphical Representations of Complex Patterns of Evidence | AB Hepler, AP Dawid and V Leucari |
| 274 | Estimation across multiple models with application to Bayesian computing and software development | RJ Stevens and TJ Sweeting |
| 273 | Design of Dissimilarity Measures: a New Dissimilarity between Species Distribution Areas? | C Hennig and B Hausdorf |
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Research Reports From 2006 | |
| 272 | Dissolution point and isolation robustness: robustness criteria for general cluster analysis methods | C Hennig |
| 271 | Cluster-wise assessment of cluster stability | C Hennig |
| 270 | The game of red and blue revisited: propensities, subjective probabilities, and the goodness-of-fit paradox | C Hennig |
| 269 | Counterfactuals, Hypotheticals and Potential Responses: A Philosophical Examination of Statistical Causality | AP Dawid |
| 268 | The geometry of proper scoring rules | AP Dawid |
| 267 |
Fathoming the PCT funding formula with Excel graphics (Updated: 5/5/06) |
M Stone |
| 266 | Asymmetric Separation for Local Independence Graphs | V Didelez |
| 265 | Direct and Indirect Effects of Sequential Treatments | V Didelez, AP Dawid and S Geneletti |
| 264 | Probability and Evidence | J Mortera and AP Dawid |
| 263 | Stochastic Models for Epidemics | V. Isham |
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Research Reports From 2005 | |
| 262 | Identifying the consequences of dynamic treatment strategies | AP Dawid and V Didelez |
| 261 | The Geometry of Decision Theory | AP Dawid and SL Lauritzen |
| 260 | Graphical Models for Composable Finite Markov Processes | V Didelez |
| 259 | Semiparametric Estimation of the Extremal Index using Block Maxima | PJ Northrop |
| 258 | Graphical Models for Marked Point Processes based on Local Independence | V Didelez |
| 257 | Likelihood-based inference for the ratios of regression coefficients in linear models | M Ghosh, GS Datta, D Kim and TJ Sweeting |
| 256 | Object-oriented Bayesian networks for complex forensic DNA profiling problems | A. P. Dawid, J. Mortera and P. Vicard |
| 255 | Inference for clustered data using the independence log-likelihood | R. E. Chandler and S. Bate |
| 254 | A PCT funding formula for England based on faith may be wasting billions | M. Stone and J. Galbraith |
| 253 | Nonsubjective priors via predictive relative entropy regret | T. J. Sweeting, G. S. Datta and M. Ghosh |
| 252 | Probability Matching Priors | G. S. Datta and T. J. Sweeting |
| 251 | A point process model for rainfall with truncated Gaussian rain cells | P. J. Northrop and T. M. Stone |
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Research Reports From 2004 | |
| 250 | Statistics on Trial | A. P. Dawid |
| 249 | Estimation of Mutation Rates from Paternity Cases Using a Bayesian Network | P. Vicard, A. P. Dawid, J. Mortera and S. L. Lauritzen |
| 248 | Accumulating Evidence of Malfunctioning Government Machinery | M. Stone |
| 247 | Spatial-temporal Rainfall Simulation using Generalized Linear Models | C. Yang, R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham and H.S. Wheater |
| 246 | Application of a predictive distribution formula to Bayesian computation for incomplete data models | T.J. Sweeting and S. Kharroubi |
| 245 | Adjudication of the Radio 4 Today Programme Speed Tribunal | M. Stone |
| 244 | Statistics and the Law | A. P. Dawid |
| 243 | Probability and Statistics in the Law | A. P. Dawid |
| 242 | How Not to Fund Hospital and Community Health Services in England (and How One Might) | M. Stone and J. Galbraith |
| 241 | On the Implementation of Local Probability Matching Priors for Interest Parameters | T.J. Sweeting |
| 240 | Stochastic and Spatial Dynamics of Nematode Parasites in Farmed Ruminants | S.J. Cornell, V.S. Isham and B.T. Grenfell |
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Research Reports From 2003 | |
| 239 | Accurate Signal Estimation Near Discontinuities | T. R. Downie |
| 238 | Paradox, simple inconsistency, or serious pathology? Comment on `Conditioning as disintegration' by Chang & Pollard | M. Stone, A. P. Dawid and J. V. Zidek |
| 237 | Which Likelihood Ratio? (Comment on "Why the effect of prior odds should accompany the likelihood ratio when reporting DNA evidence", by Ronald Meester and Marjan Sjerps) | A. P. Dawid |
| 236 | Simulation and downscaling models for potential evaporation | C. Yang, R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham, C. Annoni and H.S. Wheater |
| 235 | Prediction of future migration flows to the UK and Germany (Chapter 6 of Home Office Online Report 25/03, www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs2/rdsolr2503.pdf): Technical exercise, honest study, or convenient obfuscation? | M. Stone |
| 234 | A Statistical Treatment of Biases Affecting the Estimation of Mutation Rates | P. Vicard and A. P. Dawid |
| 233 | Some new formulae for posterior expectations and Bartlett corrections | T. J. Sweeting and S. A. Kharroubi |
| 232 | On the use of generalized linear models for interpreting climate variability | R. E. Chandler |
| 231 | Demographic explanation of a remarkable enhancement of repopulation hemopoiesis by heterozygous connexin43/45 stem cells seeded on wildtype connexin43 stroma | M. Rosendaal and M. Stone |
| 230 | Collapsibility of graphical CG-regression models | V. Didelez and D. Edwards |
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Research Reports From 2002 | |
| 229 | Ultimate extinction of the promiscuous bisexual Galton-Watson metapopulation | Stephen J. Cornell and Valerie S. Isham |
| 228 | Probability, Causality and the Empirical World: A Bayes-de Finetti-Popper-Borel Synthesis (published version) | A.P. Dawid |
| 227 | GLIMCLIM: Generalized Linear Modelling for Daily Climate Time Series | R.E. Chandler s |
| 226 | An object-oriented Bayesian network for estimating mutation rates | A. P. Dawid |
| 225 | Probabilistic Expert Systems for DNA Mixture Profiling | J. Mortera, A. P. Dawid and S. L. Lauritzen |
| 224 | Floods: Some Probabilistic and Statistical Approaches | D.R. Cox, V.S.Isham and P.J.Northrop |
| 223 | Game Theory, Maximum Entropy, Minimum Discrepancy, and Robust Bayesian Decision Theory (published version) | P. D. Grünwald and A. P. Dawid |
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Research Reports From 2001 | |
| 222 | A Bayesian Network in Intensive Care: a fully explanatory model for care evaluation | D. Luciani |
| 221 | Influence diagrams for causal modelling and inference | A. P. Dawid |
| 220 | Non-Fatherhood or Mutation? A Probabilistic Approach to Parental Exclusion in Paternity Testing | A. Philip Dawid, Julia Mortera and Vincenzo L. Pascali |
| 219 | Bayes's Theorem And Weighing Evidence by Juries | A. P. Dawid |
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Research Reports From 2000 | |
| 218 | Consistency in Misspecified Models | Kostas Skouras and A. Philip Dawid |
| 217 | Statistical modelling of thermal annealing of fission tracks in Durango apatite | G.M. Laslett and R.F. Galbraith |
| 216 | Point estimation for log-linear models where one variable is subject to non-ignorable non-response | P. S. Clarke |
| 215 | Probabilistic expert systems for forensic inference from genetic markers | A. P. Dawid, J. Mortera, V. L. Pascali and D. van Boxel |
| 214 | Models for macroparasite aggregation: the role of the transmission process | Julian Herbert and Valerie Isham |
| 213 | Causal Inference Using Influence Diagrams: the Problem of Partial Compliance | A. P. Dawid |
| 212 | Separoids: A general framework for conditional independence and irrelevance | A. P. Dawid |
| 211 | Comment on Stockmarr's "Likelihood Ratios for Evaluating DNA Evidence, When the Suspect is Found Through a Database Search" | A. P. Dawid |
| 210 | Compatible Prior Distributions | A. P. Dawid and S. L. Lauritzen |
| 209 | Some variations on variation independence | A. P. Dawid |
| 208 | Questions of efficiency estimation in public services: is the state of the art really "State of The Art"? | M. Stone |
| 207 | Distinguishing dose populations in sediment mixtures: a test of single-grain optical dating procedures using mixtures of laboratory-dosed quartz | R.G. Roberts, R.F. Galbraith, J.M. Olley, G.M. Laslett and H. Yoshida |
| 206 | Estimating the age range of optical dating using single `supergrains' of quartz | H. Yoshida, R.G. Roberts, J. M. Olley, G.M. Laslett, and R.F. Galbraith |
| 205 | Disease surveillance and data collection issues in epidemic modelling | P.J. Solomon and V.S. Isham |
| 204 | Generation of spatially consistent rainfall data | H.S. Wheater, V.S. Isham, C. Onof, R.E. Chandler, P.J. Northrop, P. Guiblin, S.M. Bate, D.R. Cox and D. Koutsoyiannis |
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Research Reports From 1999 | |
| 203 | Model Metaselection | X. de Luna and K. Skouras |
| 202 | The Trouble with Bayes Factors | A.P. Dawid |
| 201 | Alternative mathematics for ion exchange modelling and data analysis | M.Stone |
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Research Reports From 1998 | |
| 200 | Strong consistency in nonlinear stochastic regression models | K. Skouras |
| 199 | Conditional products: an alternative approach to conditional independence | A. P. Dawid and M. Studeny |
| 198 | Simulation-based robust estimation of ARMA models | X. de Luna and M.G. Genton |
| 197 | Early statisticians: Sir Frederick Morton Eden (1766-1809) and Florence Nightingale (1820-1910) | M. Stone |
| 196 | A point process model for rainfall with dependent duration and intensity | Anastasia Kakou |
| 195 |
Climate change detection using Generalized Linear Models for rainfall - a case study from the West of Ireland II. Modelling of rainfall amounts on wet days |
Richard E. Chandler and Howard S. Wheater |
| 194 |
Climate change detection using Generalized Linear Models for rainfall - a case study from the West of Ireland I. Preliminary analysis and modelling of rainfall occurrence |
Richard E. Chandler and Howard S. Wheater |
| 193 | Stochastic host-parasite interaction models | Julian Herbert and Valerie Isham |
| 192 | Hierarchical Models for DNA Profiling Using Heterogeneous Databases | A. Philip Dawid and John Pueschel |
| 191 | Influence of light level on the incidence of road casualties and the associated effect of summertime clock changes | M. Hazelton, M. Stone and J. Broughton |
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Research Reports From 1997 | |
| 190 | Bayes factors for variance component models | Donna K. Pauler, Jonathan C. Wakefield and Robert E. Kass |
| 189 | Modelling issues in forensic inference | A.P. Dawid |
| 188 | Causal inference without counterfactuals | A.P. Dawid |
| 187 | A decision theory approach to fitness for pupose in analytical measurement | T. Fearn, S.A. Fisher, M. Thompson and S. Ellison |
| 186 | Spatio-temporal rainfall processes: stochastic models and data analysis | R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham and P.J. Northrop |
| 185 | The Schwarz Criterion and Related Methods for Normal Linear Models | Donna K. Pauler |
| 184 | Bayesian image analysis and the disaggregation of rainfall | R.E. Chandler, N.G. Mackay, H.S.Wheater and C. Onof |
| 183 | An optimal local bandwidth selector for kernel density estimation | Martin L. Hazelton |
| 182 | Policies for Poverty from an Analytical Aristocrat | Mervyn Stone |
| 181 | Forensic Identification with Imperfect Evidence | A. P. Dawid and J. Mortera |
| 180 | Absolute continuity of Markov chains | Kostas Skouras |
| 179 | Bayesian updating and the time-preference reversal effect | Peter D. Sozou |
| 178 | Statistical Modelling and Analysis of Spatial Patterns | D.R. Cox, V.S. Isham and Paul Northrop |
| 177 | A clustered spatial-temporal model of rainfall | Paul Northrop |
| 176 | Spatial-temporal rainfall fields: modelling and statistical aspects | H.S. Wheater, V.S. Isham, D.R. Cox, R.E. Chandler, A. Kakou, P.J. Northrop, L.Oh, C. Onof and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe |
| Research Reports From 1996 | ||
| 175 | Nonconjugate Bayesian regression on many variables | B.Q. Fang and A.P. Dawid |
| 174 | Stochastic spatial-temporal models for rain | D.R. Cox and V.S. Isham |
| 173 | A note on analytical solutions to the Whittle likelihood equation | Richard E. Chandler |
| 172 | Critique of E.T.Jaynes's "Paradoxes of Probability Theory" | A.P.Dawid, M.Stone and J.V.Zidek |
| 171 | Prequential Probability: Principles and Properties | A.P. Dawid and V.G. Vovk |
| 170 | Using a graphical method to take account of dependencies when evaluating complicated patterns of evidence | A.P. Dawid and I.W. Evett |
| 169 | Detecting adulteratism of Basmati rice by the analysis of mixtures | T. Fearn |
| 168 | Discrimination with many variables | P.J. Brown, T. Fearn and M.S. Haque |
| 167 | Coherent criteria for optimal experimental design | A.P. Dawid and P. Sebastiani |
| 166 | Site 73 in hypervariable region II of the human mitochondrial genome and the origin of European populations. | H.M. Wilkinson-Herbots |
| 165 | The structured coalescent | H.M. Herbots |
| 164 | The dependence of measures of subpopulation differentiation on population structure and mutation rate (Part II) | H.M. Herbots |
| 163 | The dependence of measures of subpopulation differentiation on population structure and mutation rate (Part I) | H.M. Herbots |
| 162 | Optimal rates for local bandwidth selection | M. Hazelton |
| 161 | Efficient cross-validation of reduced rank regression and JCRO | R.J. Brooks and M. Stone |
| 160 | On Efficient Point Prediction Systems | K. Skouras and A.P. Dawid |
| 159 | On Efficient Probability Forecasting Systems | K. Skouras and A.P. Dawid |
| 158 | The second-order spectral analysis of spatial-temporal rainfall models | Richard E. Chandler |
| 157 | Conditional Independence | A. P. Dawid |
| Research Reports From 1995 | ||
| 156 | Statistical modelling of thermal annesting of fission tracks | G.M. Laslett and R.F. Galbraith |
| 155 | Analysis of Fission track counts | R.F. Galbraith and G. Laslett |
| 154 | Renewal models and renewal-type equations as Functionals | K. Politis |
| 153 | Connectedness conditions for the convergence of the Gibbs sampler | J.P. Hubert, C.P. Robert and C. Goutis |
| 152 | Standardizing Spectrophotometers | T. Fearn |
| 151 | Comparison of Full Bayes and Bayes-Least Squares Criteria for Normal Discrimination | B.Q. Fang and A.P. Dawid |
| 150 | Confidence bounds for the adjustment coefficient | S.M. Pitts, R. Grubel and P. Embrechts |
| 149 | Second derivative functional regression with applications to NIR Spectroscopy | C. Goutis |
| 148 | Spatial-temporal rainfall processes: stochastic models and data analysis | R. Chandler, V. Isham, A. Kakou and P. Northrop |
| 147 | Monte Carlo inference for a model of carbon fibre strength | M. Hazelton |
| 146 | Bandwidth selection for local density estimators | M. Hazelton |
| 145 | Improved Monte Carlo inference for models with additive error | M. Hazelton |
| 144 | Comments on "The roles of conditioning in inference" by N. Reid | A. P. Dawid and C. Goutis |
| 143 | Modelling mixed fission trackages: a cube root truncated normal model | R.F. Galbraith and G.M. Laslett |
| 142 | A spectral method for estimating parameters in rainfall models | Richard E. Chandler |
| 141 | Prequential Analysis | A. P. Dawid |
| Research Reports from 1994 | ||
| 140 | Partial least squares regression on smooth factors | C. Goutis and T. Fearn |
| 139 | Proper Measures of Discrepancy Uncertainty and Dependence with Applications to Predictive Experimental Design [revised] [original] | A. P. Dawid |
| 138 | On Compatible priors for Baysian Networks | R. Cowell |
| 137 | Model choice in generalized linear models: a Bayesian approach via Kullback-Leibler projections | C. Goutis and C.P. Robert |
| 136 | Elementary Watson! Coherent Analysis of Forensic Evidence | A. P. Dawid and J. Mortera |
| 135 | A comparison of sequential learning methods for incomplete data | R. G. Cowell, A. P. Dawid and P. Sebastiani |
| 134 | Stochastic Models of Host-Macroparasite Interaction | Valerie Isham |
| 133 | Distributive Block Structures: Mathematical Properties | A.P. Dawid |
| 132 | Decision networks: A formulation for multistage decision problems. | Robert G. Cowell |
| 131 | A note on nonregular likelihood functions in heterosecdastic regression models. | Adam Crisp and Jim Burridge |
| 130 | The efficient cross-validation of principal components applied to principal component regression | Bart Mertens, Tom Fearn and Michael Thompson |
| Research Reports From 1993 | ||
| 129 | Hybrid Propagation in Junction Trees | A.P. Dawid, U. Kjaerulff and S.L. Lauritzen |
| 128 | Stochastic Models of Precipitation | D.R. Cox and Valerie Isham |
| 127 | Unique redescending t M-Estimates for the Linear Regression Model | Adam Crisp and Jim Burridge |
| 126 | Partial Least Squares Algorithm Yields Shrinkage Estimators | Constantinos Goutis |
| 125 | Maximum Likelihood Estimation in the presence of Extra-Poisson Variation | Hassan Johaadien and Constantinos Goutis |
| 124 | Joint Continuum Regression for Multiple Predictands | Rodney Brooks and Mervyn Stone |
| 123 | Taking Prediction Seriously | A.P. Dawid |
| 122 | Estimation in Linear Models using the back Propagation Algorithm | K. Skouras, C. Goutis and M.J. Bramson |
| 121 | Frequentist Post-Data Inference | Constantinos Goutis and George Casella |
| 120 | Choice among Hypotheses using Estimation Criteria | Constantinos Goutis and Christian P. Robert |
| 119 | D-Optimal Designs for Generalised Linear Models with Variance Proportional to the Square of the Mean | Jim Burridge and Paola Sebastiani |
| 118 | Analysing Unreplicated Factorials | Jorge Olguin |
| 117 | Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests of fit when parameters are estimated from order statistics | M. Taghavi-Khonsary |
| 116 | Some applications of radial plots | R.F. Galbraith |
| 115 | The Island Problem: Coherent use of Identification Evidence | A.P. Dawid |
| 114 | Statistical models for mixed ages in fission track analysis | R.F. Galbraith and G.M. Laslett |
| 113 | Assessing Evidence in Multiple Hypotheses | Constantinos Goutis, George Casella and Martin T. Wells |
| Research Reports From 1992 | ||
| 112 | Coherent Combination of Experts' Opinions | A.P. Dawid, M.H. DeGroot and J. Mortera |
| 111 | Nonparametric estimation of compound distributions with applications in insurance | Susan M. Pitts |
| 110 | Some applications of the fast Fourier transform algorithm in insurance mathematics | Paul Embrechts, Rudolf Grubel and Susan M. Pitts |
| 109 | Calculating moments of decomposable functions in Bayesian networks | R.G. Cowell |
| 108 | The Dilation Phenomenon in Robust Bayesian Inference by Larry Wasserman and Teddy Seidenfeld | Constantinos Goutis |
| 107 | A note on the uniqueness of M-estimators in robust regression | A. Crisp and Jim Burridge |
| 106 | The analysis of projected fission track lengths | G.M. Laslett and R.F. Galbraith |
| 105 | Flat or Natural? A Note on the Choice of Calibration Samples. | T. Fearn |
| 104 | Selection Paradoxes of Bayesian Inference | A.P. Dawid |
| 103 | Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems | D.J. Spiegelhalter, A.P. Dawid Steffen L. Lauritzen, Robert G. Cowell |
| 102 | Statistical Aspects of Chaos: A Review | Valerie Isham |
| 101 | A Graphical Method for solving a Decision Analysis problem | Constantinos Goutis |
| 100 | A repeat of the ""Benveniste"" experiment: statistical analysis | Jim Burridge |
| 99 | Relationships between post data accuracy measures. | George Casella and Constantinos Goutis |
| 98 | Nonparametric estimation of the stationary waiting time distribution function for the GI/G/1 queue | Susan M. Pitts |
| 97 | Statistical Aspects of pre-operative screening for anaesthetic allergies | Constantinos Goutis |
| Research Reports From 1991 | ||
| 96 | Asymptotic property of a Bayesian discrimination problem | B.Q. Fang and A.P. Dawid |
| 95 | Sequential model criticism in probabilistic expert systems | R.G. Cowell and A.P. Dawid, D.J. Spiegelhalter |
| 94 | Shrinking Calibrations | T. Fearn |
| 93 | Graphical Modelling of Data from Whitehall II | Ian White |
| 92 | Stochastic Models for Epidemics with Special Reference to Aids | Valerie Isham |
| 91 | Optimal Designs for Generalized Linear Models | J. Burridge and P. Sebastiani |
| 90 | Bayesian estimation methods for contingency tables. | Constantinos Goutis |
| 89 | Fast retraction of evidence in a probabilistic expert system | R.G. Cowell and A.P. Dawid |
| 88 | Applications of a General Propagation Algorithm for Probabilistic Expert Systems | A.P. Dawid |
| 87 | A Bayesian Expert System for the Analysis of an Adverse Drug Reaction | R.G. Cowell, A.P. Dawid, T. Hutchinson, D.J. Spiegelhalter |
| 86 | BAIES - A Probabilistic Expert System Shell with Qualitative and Quantitative Learning | Robert Cowell |
| 84 | Joint Continuum Regression for Multiple Predictands | Mervyn Stone and Rodney Brooks |
| 83 | Conjugate Bayes Discrimination with Infinitely Many Variables | A.P. Dawid and B.Q. Fang |
| 82 | Prequential Analysis, Stochastic Complexity and Bayesian Inference | A.P. Dawid |
| 80 | Unique and Consistent M-Estimators for Linear Models and Symmetry Heavy-tailed Error Distributions | Jim Burridge |
| 79 | Recovering extra-binomial variation | Constantinos Goutis |
| Research Reports From 1990 | ||
| 78 | Increasing the Confidence in Student's t Interval. | Constantinos Goutis and George Casella |
| 77 | A functional approach to the stationary waiting time and idle period distributions of the GI/G/I queue | Rudolf Grübel and Susan M. Pitts |
| 76 | Assessing the variability of stochastic epidemics | Valerie Isham |
| 75 | Generic Organisational Networks for the Analysis of Drug Safety | R.G. Cowell, A.P. Dawid, T.A. Hutchinson, S. Roden and D.J. Spiegelhalter |
| 74 | Foundations of Probability (Article for ""Encyclopaedia of the History and Philosophy of the Mathematical Sciences"") | A.P. Dawid |
| 73 | Lumbricus Terrestris: A Game for Teaching Resource-Limited Statistical Society. | G. Brian Newman |
| 72 | Box-Cox Transformations and the Taguchi Method: an Alternative Analysis of a Taguchi Case Study | T. Fearn |
| 71 | An Application of Box-Jenkins Methodology to the Control of Gluten Addition in a Flour Mill. | T. Fearn and P.I. Maris |
| 70 | Ranges of Posterior Measures for Some Classes of Priors with Specified Moments | Constantinos Goutis |
| 69 | Probabilistic causality assessment after a suspected adverse drug reaction: a case study in Bayesian network modelling. | David J. Spiegelhalter, A.P. Dawid, Tom A. Hutchinson, R.G. Cowell |
| 68 | Comments on the use of the back-projection method to estimate the incidence of HIV infection and Aids | Valerie Isham |
| 67 | Fisherian Inference in Likelihood and Prequential Frames of Reference | A.P. Dawid |
| Research Reports From 1989 | ||
| 66 | Comment on Joshi's ""Counter-example against the likelihood Principle"" | A.P. Dawid, T. Fearn and M. Stone |
| 65 | Markov Distributions, Hyper Markov Laws and Meta Markov Models on Decomposable Graphs, with Applications to Bayesian Learning in Expert Systems | A.P. Dawid and S.L. Lauritzen |
| 64 | A Stratified Binomial Marker Model for Bone-Marrow Repopulation Experiments | M. Stone and D. Harrison |
| Research Reports From 1988 | ||
| 63 | Independence Properties of Directed Markov Fields | S.L. Lauritzen, A.P. Dawid, B.N. Larsen, H.G. Leimer |
| 62 | Continuum Regression: Cross-validated, Sequentially-constructed Prediction embracing Ordinary Least Squares, Partial Least Squares, and Principal Components Regression | M. Stone and R.J. Brooks |
| 61 | Prequential Tests of Model Fit | F. Seillier, T.J. Sweeting and A.P. Dawid |
| 60 | Moment-Based Estimating Equations, Mean-Variance Relationships and Exponential Dispersion Models | J. Burridge |
| Research Reports From 1987 | ||
| 59 | Functional Models, Fiducial Prediction and Semi-Bayesian Inference | A.P. Dawid |
| 58 | Mathematical Modelling of the Transmission Dynamics of HIV Infection and Aids: A Review | Valerie Isham |
| 57 | On testing the validity of probability forecasts | R.M.L.G. Seillier |
| 56 | The Infinite Regress and its Conjugate Analysis | A.P. Dawid |
| 55 | The Population Genealogy of the Infinitely-Many Neutral Alleles Model | Peter Donnelly and Simon Tavare |
| Research Reports From 1986 | ||
| 54 | Notes on Linear Sufficiency in the General Linear Model | M. Stone |
| 53 | Symmetry Analysis of the Mixed Model | A.P. Dawid |
| 52 | Isobolic Determination of Linear and 'Ratio-Linear' Parameters | M. Stone |
| 51 | A Bayes, Sweep-Operational Construction for Rao's Unified Theory of Linear Estimation (Short Title: Construction for Unified Least-Squares) | M. Stone and J.L. Wang |
| 50 | Symmetry Models and Hypotheses for Structured Data Layouts | A.P. Dawid |
| 49 | Graphical Display of Estimates having Differing Standard errors | R.F. Galbraith |
| 48 | Mean-variance Relationships, Generalised Linear Models and GLIM | J. Burridge |
| 47 | The difficulty about conjunction | A.P. Dawid |
| 46 | Prequential Data Analysis | A.P. Dawid |
| 45 | Inter-Particle Correlation in Death Processes with application to Compartmental models. | Frank Ball and Peter Donnelly |
| 44 | Stochastic Monotonicity in a reinforcement-depletion compartmental Urn Model | Peter Donnelly |
| Research Reports From 1985 | ||
| 43 | Marked Point Processes and Their Correlation's | Valerie Isham |
| 42 | Prequential Assessment of Discrete Probability Forecasts | Françoise Seillier |
| 41 | Statistical Analysis of C.W. Naeser's Fish Canyon Zircon Data | R.F. Galbraith |
| 40 | Ubles or Blues? | Mervyn Stone |
| 39 | Coordinate-Free multivariable statistics: From Halmos to Gauss to Bayes | Mervyn Stone |
| 38 | Asymptotic Inference for Eigenvectors of Covariance and Correlation Matrices | T. Kollo |
| 37 | The Virtual Waiting Time and Related Processes | D.R. Cox and Valerie Isham |
| Research Reports From 1984 | ||
| 36 | A Statistical Analysis of some 2-players Games | J.Q. Smith |
| 35 | Decomposition and Bayesian analysis of invariant normal linear models. | G. Consonni and A.P. Dawid |
| 34 | Some Characterizations of Stochastic transformations relevant to models for experiments | M. Stone and B. Johnston |
| 33 | Optimal allocation for Bayesian inference about an odds ratio | R.J. Brooks |
| Research Reports From 1983 | ||
| 32 | Tomorrow and Tomorrow and Tomorrow … The Prequential Approach to Statistical Theory | A.P. Dawid |
| 31 | Invariant Normal Bayesian Linear Models and Experimental Designs | G. Consonni and A.P. Dawid |
| 29 | Cross-Validated Composition Determination in Nuclear Analysis | C.M. Brien and M. Stone |
| 28 | On Jackknife, Cross-Validatory and Classical Methods of Estimating a proportion with batches of different sizes. | C.C. Frangos and M. Stone |
| 27 | Statistical Reasoning | M. Stone |
| 26 | Catastrophes in Statistical Models and Decision Theory: A way of Seeing. | J.Q. Smith |
| 25 | A dynamic Forecasting Model for a General Class of Discontinuous Time Series | R.G. Gathercole and J.Q. Smith |
| 24 | Approximate likelihood ratio tests in the analysis of beta-binomial data. | R.J. Brooks |
| 23 | Variance-Covariance Modelling for Chromosome Marker Data with Application to Haemopoiesis | M. Stone |
| 22 | Decomposition of Statistical Problems by means of Invariance Mathematical Tools and Results | G. Consonni |
| 21 | On the Relative Efficiency of Censored Reliability Studies | R.J. Brooks |
| 20 | Fitting Generalised Linear Models in the Analysis of Fission Track Counts | R.J. Brooks |
| 19 | On Statistical Estimation in Fission Track Dating | R.F. Galbraith |
| 18 | Exploratory studies of some Non-Local Non-Linear Design Criteria | Mervyn Stone and Julie Morris |
| Research Reports From 1982 | ||
| 17 | Bivarate Markov Point Processes - Some Approximations | Valerie Isham |
| 16 | Forecasting accident claims for an Assurance Company | J.Q Smith |
| 15 | Point Processes and the Markov Property | Valerie Isham |
| 14 | Objective Probability Forecasts | A.P. Dawid |
| 13 | Probability, Symmetry and Frequency | A.P. Dawid |
| 12 | A Bivariate Spatial Point Process of Ants Nests | R.D. Harkness and Valerie Isham |
| 11 | Statistical Analysis of some Fission Track Counts and Neutron Fluence Measurements. | R.F. Galbraith |
| 9 | Invariance and Independence in Multivariate Distribution Theory | A.P. Dawid |
| Research Reports From 1981 | ||
| 8 | Principles of Interactive Forecasting | J.Q. Smith and R.B. Cathercole |
| 7 | Catastrophies and Geometric Sufficiency | J.Q. Smith |
| 6 | Fiducial Probability | M. Stone |
| 5 | A General Statistical Model for Clone/Tissue studies using X-Chromosome Inactivation Data | M. Stone |
| 4 | Intersubjective Statistical Models | A.P. Dawid |
| 3 | Statistical Inference | A.P. Dawid |
| 2 | Invariant Prior Distributions | A.P. Dawid |
| 1 | The Functional-Model Basis of Fiducial Inference | A.P. Dawid and M. Stone |
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