Dr Paul Northrop

Position Senior Lecturer
Phone (external) 020 7679 1869
Phone (internal) 41869
Email(*) p.northrop
Personal webpage http://www.homepages.ucl.ac.uk/~ucakpjn/
Themes Stochastic Modelling and Time Series

* @ucl.ac.uk

Biographical Details

Paul Northrop

Paul has been a lecturer at University College London since 2005. He was awarded a PhD in Statistics from University College London in 1996 for a thesis on the spatial-temporal modelling of rainfall processes and extended this work as a NERC postdoctoral research fellow at University College London and Imperial College. He was a Departmental Lecturer in the Department of Statistics at the University of Oxford from 1999 to 2005.

Research Interests

Development and application of stochastic models for spatial-temporal rainfall processes; inference for complex stochastic processes; modelling of extreme values; applications in hydrology and climatology.

Selected publications

  • Northrop, P. J. and Attalides, N. (2015) Posterior propriety in Bayesian extreme value analyses using reference priors. Statistica Sinica. doi: 10.5705/ss.2014.034.
  • Northrop, P. J. (2015) An efficient semiparametric maxima estimator of the extremal index. Extremes. doi: 10.1007/s10687-015-0221-5.
  • Kaczmarska, J. M., Isham, V. S. and Northrop, P. J. (2015) Local generalised method of moments: an application to point process-based rainfall models. Environmetrics, 26(4), 312--325, doi: 10.1002/env.2338.
  • Northrop, P. J. and Coleman, C. L. (2014) Improved threshold diagnostic plots for extreme value analyses. Extremes, 17(2), 289--303, doi: 10.1007/s10687-014-0183-z.
  • Northrop, P. J. and Chandler, R. E. (2014) Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projections of future climate. Journal of Climate, 27(23), 8793--8808, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00265.1.
  • Northrop, P. J. (2011) Threshold modelling of spatially-dependent non-stationary extremes with application to hurricane-induced wave heights. Environmetrics (with discussion). Environmetrics, 22(7), 799-816, doi: 10.1002/env.1106.
  • Maul, P., Robinson, P. C. and Northrop, P. J. (2011) Statistical Modelling of Graphite Brick Cracking in Advanced Gas-Cooled Reactors. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics), 60(3), 1-15, doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2010.00745.x.

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