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Dr Gianluca Baio


Position Lecturer in Medical Statistics
Phone (external) 020 7679 1248
Phone (internal) 41248
Email(*) g.baio
Personal webpage http://www.homepages.ucl.ac.uk/~ucakgba, gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk
Themes Biostatistics, General Theory and Methodology

* @ucl.ac.uk 

Biographical Details

Gianluca Baio

Gianluca graduated in Statistics and Economics from the University of Florence (Italy). He then completed a PhD programme in Applied Statistics again at the University of Florence, after a period at the Program on the Pharmaceutical Industry at the MIT Sloan School of Management, Cambridge (USA); he then worked as a Research Fellow and then Temporary Lecturer in the Department of Statistical Sciences at University College London (UK).

Research Interests

Gianluca's main interests are in Bayesian statistical modelling for cost effectiveness analysis and decision-making problems in the health systems, hierarchical/multilevel models and causal inference using the decision-theoretic approach.

Current research students

  • Katrin Haussler 

Selected research grants

  • Valuing Active Life in Dementia (VALID). Co-investigator (PI Dr Martin Orrell, UCLH), NIHR Programme Grant, start 01/01/2012
  • Bayesian modelling to assess the cost-effectiveness of a vaccination strategy to prevent Human Papilloma Virus-related disease: the BEST2 study. Principal investigator, Sanofi Pasteur Research Grant, start 01/01/2012
  • Novel multimodality imaging techniques for neurosurgical planning and stereotactic navigation in epilepsy surgery. Co-investigator (PI Prof John Duncan, UCL Neurology), Wellcome Trust/NIHR, start 15/09/2012
  • Evaluating the benefits of community based aerobic training on the physical health and well-being of people with neuromuscular diseases: a pilot study. Co-investigator (PI: Dr Gita Ramdharry, UCLH), NIHR Research for Patients Benefit, starts 2013
  • The regression discontinuity design: a novel approach to evaluating the effects of drugs and treatments in primary care. Principal investigator, MRC Methodology Panel, starts 2013
  • Cannabidiol: a novel treatment for cannabis dependence? Co-investigator (PI: Prof Valerie Curran, UCL Clinical Education & Health Psychology). MRC Developmental Pathway Funding Scheme/Developmental Clinical Studies Panel, starts 2013
  • A feasibility study of a psychological intervention to address alcohol misuse for people with mild to moderate learning disabilities living in the community. Co-investigator (PI: Dr Christos Koumtsidis, Hertfordshire NHS Trust), NIHR, RfPB starts 2013

Selected publications

    2013

    • Baio, G. (2013). Erratum: The Bayesian Model on HPV Vaccination in Italy Lacks Transparency (Medical Care (2012) 50 (1076-1085)). Medical Care 51(4), 378-378
    • Baio, G. (2013). Novel Health Economic Evaluation of a Vaccination Strategy to Prevent HPV-related Diseases: The BEST Study (vol 50, pg 1076, 2012). MEDICAL CARE 51(4), 378-378 doi:10.1097/MLR.0b013e318290e48c. Author URL
    • Blangiardo, M., Cameletti, M., Baio, G., Rue, H. (2013). Spatial and Spatio-Temporal models with R-INLA. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology Publisher URL [Accepted]
    • Favato, G., Baio, G., Capone, A., Marcellusi, A., Costa, S., Garganese, G., Picardo, M., Drummond, M., Jonsson, B., Scambia, G., Zweifel, P., Mennini, F. S. (2013). Transparency or proper study valuation procedures missed? Med Care 51(4), 374-378 doi:10.1097/MLR.0b013e31828a6a1e. Author URL
    • Scotti, L., Baio, G., Merlino, L., Cesana, G., Mancia, G., Corrao, G. (2013). Cost-effectiveness of enhancing adherence to therapy with blood pressure-lowering drugs in the setting of primary cardiovascular prevention. Value Health 16(2), 318-324 doi:10.1016/j.jval.2012.11.008. Author URL

    2012

    • Baio, G. (2012). Bayesian Methods in Health Economics. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman Hall, CRC. Author URL Publisher URL
    • Baio, G., Capone, A., Marcellusi, A., Mennini, F. S., Favato, G. (2012). Economic Burden of Human Papillomavirus-Related Diseases in Italy. PLOS One Accepted for publication
    • Brentnall, A. R., Duffy, S. W., Baio, G., Raine, R. (2012). Strategy for power calculation for interactions: Application to a trial of interventions to improve uptake of bowel cancer screening. Contemp Clin Trials 33(1), 213-217 doi:10.1016/j.cct.2011.09.021. Author URL
    • Day, A. C., Baio, G., Gazzard, G., Bunce, C., Azuara-Blanco, A., Munoz, B., Friedman, D. S., Foster, P. J. (2012). The prevalence of primary angle closure glaucoma in European derived populations: A systematic review. Br J Ophthalmol 96(9), 1162-1167 doi:10.1136/bjophthalmol-2011-301189. Author URL
    • Favato, G., Baio, G., Capone, A., Marcellusi, A., Costa, S., Garganese, G., Picardo, M., Drummond, M., Jonsson, B., Scambia, G., Zweifel, P., Mennini, F. S. (2012). Novel health economic evaluation of a vaccination strategy to prevent HPV-related diseases: The BEST study. Med Care 50(12), 1076-1085 doi:10.1097/MLR.0b013e318269e06d. Author URL
    • Mennini, F. S., Baio, G., Montagano, G., Cauzillo, G., Locuratolo, F., Becce, G., Gitto, L., Marcellusi, A., Zweifel, P., Capone, A., Favato, G. (2012). Governance of preventive Health Intervention and On time Verification of its Efficiency: the GIOVE Study. BMJ Open 2(2), e000736- doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2011-000736. Author URL
    • Morris, S., Baio, G., Kendall, E., von Wagner, C., Wardle, J., Atkin, W., Halloran, S. P., Handley, G., Logan, R. F., Obichere, A., Rainbow, S., Smith, S., Snowball, J., Raine, R. (2012). Socioeconomic variation in uptake of colonoscopy following a positive faecal occult blood test result: A retrospective analysis of the NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Programme. Br J Cancer 107(5), 765-771 doi:10.1038/bjc.2012.303. Author URL

    2011

    • Baio, G., Barbagallo, M., D'Avola, G., Di Luccio, A., Di Tanna, G. L., Falaschi, P., Iolascon, G., Malavolta, N., Robbiati, F., Ulivieri, F. M. (2011). Improving adherence in osteoporosis: a new management algorithm for the patient with osteoporosis. Expert Opin Pharmacother 12(2), 257-268 doi:10.1517/14656566.2011.537259. Author URL
    • Baio, G., Blangiardo, G. C., Blangiardo, M. (2011). Centre Sampling Technique in Foreign Migration Surveys: A Methodological Note. J OFF STAT 27(3), 451-465
    • Baio, G., Dawid, A. P. (2011). Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis in Health Economics. Statistical Methods in Medical Research doi:10.1177/0962280211419832.
    • Corrao, G., Scotti, L., Zambon, A., Baio, G., Nicotra, F., Conti, V., Capri, S., Tragni, E., Merlino, L., Catapano, A. L., Mancia, G. (2011). Cost-effectiveness of enhancing adherence to therapy with statins in the setting of primary cardiovascular prevention. Evidence from an empirical approach based on administrative databases. Atherosclerosis 217(2), 479-485 doi:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2011.04.014. Author URL
    • Mennini, F. S., Baio, G., Capone, A., Marcellusi, A., Favato, G., Costa, S., Garganese, G., Picardo, M., Drummond, M., Jonsson, B., Scambia, G., Zweifel, P. (2011). BAYESIAN MODELLING ASSESSING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF A VACCINATION STRATEGY TO PREVENT HPV-RELATED DISEASES: THE BEST STUDY. VALUE IN HEALTH 14(3), A165-A165 Author URL
    • Osborn, D. P., Baio, G., Walters, K., Petersen, I., Limburg, H., Raine, R., Nazareth, I. (2011). Inequalities in the provision of cardiovascular screening to people with severe mental illnesses in primary care Cohort study in the United Kingdom THIN Primary Care Database 2000-2007. Schizophr Res 129(2-3), 104-110 doi:10.1016/j.schres.2011.04.003. Author URL
    • von Wagner, C., Baio, G., Raine, R., Snowball, J., Morris, S., Atkin, W., Obichere, A., Handley, G., Logan, R. F., Rainbow, S., Smith, S., Halloran, S., Wardle, J. (2011). Inequalities in participation in an organized national colorectal cancer screening programme: results from the first 2.6 million invitations in England. INT J EPIDEMIOL 40(3), 712-718 doi:10.1093/ije/dyr008.

    2010

    • Baio, G. (2010). Metodi statistici per la valutazione economica in sanità [Statistical methods for health economic evaluation, in Italian]. Roma, Italy: Aracne Editore. Author URL
    • Baio, G., Blangiardo, M. (2010). Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football results. Journal of Applied Statistics 37(2), 253-264
    • Baio, G., Russo, P. (2010). A decision-theoretic framework for the application of cost-effectiveness analysis in regulatory processes | Un modello di analisi del valore dell'informazione per la valutazione di costo-efficacia nell'ambito del processo regolatorio. PharmacoEconomics - Italian Research Articles 12(1), 5-16
    • Fakoya, I., Evans, A., Burns, F. M., Baio, G., Morris, S., Hart, G. J. (2010). Review of effectiveness and cost effectiveness: Increasing the uptake of HIV testing to reduce undiagnosed infection and prevent transmission among black African communities living in England.

    2009

    • Avillach, P., Mougin, F., Joubert, M., Thiessard, F., Pariente, A., Dufour, J. C., Trifirò, G., Polimeni, G., Catania, M. A., Giaquinto, C., Mazzaglia, G., Baio, G., Herings, R., Gini, R., Hippisley-Cox, J., Molokhia, M., Pedersen, L., Fourrier-Réglat, A., Sturkenboom, M., Fieschi, M. (2009). A semantic approach for the homogeneous identification of events in eight patient databases: A contribution to the European eu-ADR project. Stud Health Technol Inform 150, 190-194 Author URL
    • Baio, G., Di Tanna, G. L., Integlia, D., Pammolli, F. (2009). HEALTH ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF THE TREATMENT OF OSTEOPOROSIS IN FIVE ITALIAN REGIONS. VALUE HEALTH 12(7), A441-A441
    • Baio, G., Russo, P. (2009). A Decision-Theoretic Framework for the Application of Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Regulatory Processes. Pharmacoeconomics 27(8), 645-655 doi:10.2165/11310250-000000000-00000. Author URL

    2008

    • Baio, G., Dawid, A. P. (2008). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis in health economics. University College London, UK.
    • Blangiardo, M., Baio, G., Blangiardo, G. C. (2008). Bayesian Latent Class Model to Measure Social Integration of Immigrants in Italy. University of Milano Bicocca.
    • Zambon, A., Baio, G., Mazzaglia, G., Merlino, L., Corrao, G. (2008). Discontinuity and failures of therapy with bisphosphonates: joint assessment of predictors with multi-state models. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 17(3), 260-269 doi:10.1002/pds.1530. Author URL

    2007

    • Baio, G., Blangiardo, M. (2007). An Introduction to Bayesian Modelling for Social Sciences. In Osborne, J. (Ed.). Best Practice in Quantitative Methods ( ). Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publisher.
    • Baio, G., Corradi, F. (2007). Handling manipulated evidence. Forensic Sci Int 169(2-3), 181-187 doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2006.08.017. Author URL
    • Schachter, A. D., Ramoni, M. F., Baio, G., Roberts, T. G., Finkelstein, S. N. (2007). Economic evaluation of a bayesian model to predict late-phase success of new chemical entities. Value Health 10(5), 377-385 doi:10.1111/j.1524-4733.2007.00191.x. Author URL

    2006

    • Baio, G., Pammolli, F., Baldo, V., Trivello, R. (2006). Object-oriented influence diagram for cost-effectiveness analysis of influenza vaccination in the Italian elderly population. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research 6(3), 293-302

    2005

    • Merito, M., Bonaccorsi, A., Pammolli, F., Riccaboni, M., Baio, G., Arici, C., Monforte, A. D., Pezzotti, P., Corsini, D., Tramarin, A., Cauda, R., Colangeli, V., Pastore, G., I.CO.N.A. Study Group, (2005). Economic evaluation of HIV treatments: The ICONA cohort study. Health Policy 74(3), 304-313 doi:10.1016/j.healthpol.2005.01.016. Author URL

    2004

    • Baio, G., Pammolli, F., Baldo, V., Trivello, R. (2004). The economic evaluation of influenza vaccination in the elderly population: A model based on Bayesian Networks. VALUE HEALTH 7(3), 359-359

    2003

    • Baio, G., Esposti, L. D., Esposti, E. D., Saragoni, S., Capone, A., Russo, P., Pammolli, F. (2003). Bayesian cost-effectiveness analysis based on the persistence with antihypertensive treatment. Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res 3(3), 227-236 doi:10.1586/14737167.3.3.227. Author URL
    • Russo, P., Capone, A., Attanasio, E., Baio, G., Di Martino, M., Degli Esposti, L., Marchetta, F., Buda, S., Degli Esposti, E., Caprino, L. (2003). Pharmacoutilization and costs of osteoarthritis: changes induced by the introduction of a cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitor into clinical practice. Rheumatology (Oxford) 42(7), 879-887 doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keg242. Author URL

    2002

    • Baio, G., Degli Esposti, L., Saragoni, S., Degli Esposti, E., Capone, A., Pammolli, F. (2002). Persistence with anti hypertensive drug treatment: An evaluation based on a Bayesian cost-effectiveness approach. VALUE HEALTH 5(6), 488-488
    • Degli Esposti, E., Sturani, A., Di Martino, M., Falasca, P., Novi, M. V., Baio, G., Buda, S., Volpe, M. (2002). Long-term persistence with anti hypertensive drugs in new patients. J Hum Hypertens 16(6), 439-444 doi:10.1038/sj.jhh.1001418. Author URL
    • Degli Esposti, L., Degli Esposti, E., Valpiani, G., Di Martino, M., Saragoni, S., Buda, S., Baio, G., Capone, A., Sturani, A. (2002). A retrospective, population-based analysis of persistence with antihypertensive drug therapy in primary care practice in Italy. Clin Ther 24(8), 1347-1357 Author URL
    • Degli Esposti, L., Valpiani, G., Baio, G. (2002). Valutare l’efficacia degli interventi in sanità [Evaluating effectiveness in health, in Italian]. Il Pensiero Scientifico Editore, Roma, Italy.
    • Esposti, L. D., Baio, G. L., Valpiani, G., Buda, S., Sturani, A., Esposti, E. D. (2002). Cost allocation in antihypertensive drug therapies. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research 2(5), 419-426
    • Russo, P., Capone, A., Baio, G., Di Martino, M., Degli Esposti, L., Buda, S., Degli Esposti, E., Caprino, L. (2002). [Evaluation model of the effect of Rofecoxib on the co-prescription of gastroprotective agents observed during the treatment of osteoarthritis]. Reumatismo 54(4), 331-339 Author URL
    • Russo, P., Capone, A., Baio, G., Di Martino, M., Degli Esposti, L., Buda, S., Degli Esposti, E., Caprinol, L. (2002). Evaluation model of the effect of rofecoxib on the co-prescription of gastroprotective agents observed during the treatment of ostheoarthritis | Modello valutativo dell'effetto sulla co-prescrizione di gastroprotettori osservato durante il trattamento dell'artrosi con rofecoxib. Reumatismo 54(4), 331-339

    2001

    • Russo, P., Attanasio, E., Baio, G., Degli Esposti, L., Buda, S., Degli Esposti, E., Caprino, L. (2001). An economic evaluation of rofecoxib versus NSAIDs in osteoarthritis | Una prima valutazione economica dell'impiego di rofecoxib versus FANS convenzionali nell'artrosi. PharmacoEconomics - Italian Research Articles 3(2), 81-89

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