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Archive of Statistical Science News

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Dr Serge Guillas awarded NERC follow-on funding to build demonstration tsunami catastrophe risk model for insurance industry

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Dr Serge Guillas has received £100k from the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) to demonstrate that a tsunami catastrophe risk model can be constructed for the Cascadia Region (British Columbia in Canada, Washington and Oregon in the USA). High resolution runs from the tsunami model VOLNA will be done on the new GPU cluster Emerald. Computationally efficient statistical representations of VOLNA through emulation will allow the quantification of the ranges of possible tsunami wave run-ups that result from the range of possible earthquake sources. This hazard model will be embedded into the catastrophe modelling platform from the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework in order to calculate losses for insurance portfolios.

Dr Ioanna Manolopoulou awarded 2012 Mitchell Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis

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Dr Ioanna Manolopoulou and her research collaborators have been awarded the 2012 Mitchell Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis for their paper "Bayesian Spatio-Dynamic Modelling in Cell Motility Studies: Learning Nonlinear Taxic Fields Guiding Immune Response" for its sophisticated development of model-based inference methods in the expanding field of immune-cell dynamics.

Programme on Infectious Disease Dynamics at the Isaac Newton Institute in Cambridge

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Professor Valerie Isham is co-organiser of a programme on Infectious Disease Dynamics being held at the Isaac Newton Institute in Cambridge from 19 August to 13 September 2013. The workshop marks the 20th anniversary of a 6-month programme on Epidemic Models that took place in 1993 during the first year of the Institute. The programme will take stock of progress in the last twenty years, take a systematic look at the use of models to inform public health decisions,  and set the agenda for future research and determine the main challenges both in methodology and in public health needs. It will foster collaboration and a new generation of young talented researchers with the aim of starting to address some of the challenges through a programme of concrete research activities.

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