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Publications

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Refereed Papers

	Saunders, M. A. and A. S. Lea, Large contribution of sea surface warming to recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity, Nature, 451, 557-560, 2008.
	Pielke, Jr., R. A., Gratz, J., Landsea, C. W., Collins, D., Saunders, M. A., and Musulin, R., Normalized hurricane damages in the United States: 1900-2005. Natural Hazards Review, 9, 29-42, 2008.
	Jagger, T. H., Elsner, J. B. and Saunders, M. A., Forecasting U.S. insured hurricane losses. Chapter 10 (pp 189-208) in Climate Extremes and Society, edited by Henry F. Diaz and Richard J. Murnane, Cambridge University Press, 348pp, 2008.
	Saunders, M. A. and A. S. R. Lea, The 2005/06 UK and European winter: the UCL forecast and its assessment against observations, Weather, 61, no. 12, 347-352, 2006.
	Fletcher, C. G and M. A. Saunders, Winter North Atlantic Oscillation hindcast skill: 1900-2001, J. Climate, 19, 5762-5776, 2006.
	Lea, A. S. and M. A. Saunders, How well forecast were the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic and US hurricane seasons?, Weather, 61, no. 9, 245-249, 2006.
	George, S. E., United Kingdom windspeed measurement, climatology, predictability and link to tropical Atlantic variability, PhD Thesis, University of London, 161pp, April 2006.
	Saunders, M. A. and A. S. Lea, Seasonal prediction of hurricane activity reaching the coast of the United States, Nature, 434, 1005-1008, 2005.
	Fletcher, C. G., Investigations into Seasonal Predictability of North Atlantic Winter Climate, PhD Thesis, University of London, 196pp, April 2005.
	Lloyd-Hughes, B., M. A. Saunders and P.Rockett, A consolidated CLIPER model for improved August-September ENSO prediction skill, Weather and Forecasting, 19, 1089-1105, 2004.
	Qian, B. and M.A.Saunders, Summer UK Temperatures and its Links to Preceding Eurasian Snow Cover, North Atlantic SSTs and the NAO, Journal of Climate, 16, 4108-4120, 2003.
	Qian, B. and Saunders, M.A., Seasonal Predictability of Wintertime Storminess over the North Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(13), 1698, doi:10.1029/2003GL017401, 2003.
	Saunders, M.A., B. Qian and B. Lloyd-Hughes, Summer Snow Extent Heralding of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(7), 1378, doi:10. 1029/2002GL016832, 2003.
	Planque, B., C.J.Fox, M.A.Saunders and P.Rockett, On the Prediction of Short Term Changes in the Recruitment of North Sea Cod (Gadus Morhua) Using Statistical Temperature Forecasts, Scientia Marina, 67 (Suppl. 1), 211-218, 2003.
	Saunders, M.A. and B.Qian, Seasonal Predictability of the Winter NAO from North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures, Geophysical Research Letters, 29(22), 2049, doi:10.1029/2002GL014952, 2002.
	Lloyd-Hughes, B. and M.A.Saunders, A Drought Climatology for Europe, International Journal of Climatology, 22, 1571-1592, 2002.
	McVernon, J., M.A.Saunders, P.Rockett and E.R.Moxon, The Influence of Climate on Haemophilus Disease and Respiratory Infections in Children, British Medical Journal, submitted, 2002.
	Lloyd-Hughes, B. The Long-Range Forecasting of European Drought, PhD Thesis, University of London, 196pp, September 2002.
	Lloyd-Hughes, B. and M.A.Saunders, Seasonal Prediction of European Spring Precipitation from ENSO and Local Sea Surface Temperatures, International Journal of Climatology, 22, 1-14, 2002.
	Saunders, M.A., Earth's Future Climate, Chapter 10 In 'Visions Of The Future: Astronomy and Earth Science', Edited by J.M.T.Thompson, Cambridge University Press, pp203-220, 2001.
	George, S.E. and M.A.Saunders, North Atlantic Oscillation Impact on Tropical North Atlantic Winter Atmospheric Variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 1015-1018, 2001.
	Saunders, M.A., R.E.Chandler, C.J.Merchant & F.P.Roberts, Atlantic Hurricanes and NW Pacific Typhoons: ENSO Spatial Impacts on Occurrence and Landfall, Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol.27, No.8, 1147-1150, 2000.
	Saunders, M.A., Earth's Future Climate, Special Millennium Issue of Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 357, 3459-3480, 1999.