Incisive Methods: net assessment for a multi-polar world

During the Cold War, the US Office of Net Assessment (ONA), led by Andrew Marshall, developed methods which challenged the assumptions of strict rationality in the orthodox study of international relations.

In a bi-polar world, the ONA understood that the interaction of two systems - both espousing rationality - were nevertheless prone to misperceptions and organisational pathologies. Work to understand how bounded rationality impacted relations was invaluable to the conduct of the Cold War. Classical balance-of-power approaches to international relations were far more vulnerable to error.

Today, with the uni-polar moment behind us, the assumptions underpinning net assessment are more relevant than ever. This RIC will seek to develop more incisive methods for the conduct of net assessments in out multi-polar world.

Page last modified on 30 jan 14 13:19