Jaime Millan

I’m a PhD at the UCL Economics Department working under the supervision of Professor Orazio Attanasio and Dr. Marcos Vera-Hernandez. My main fields of interest are applied microeconomics, development economics and public policy.

My current work focuses in the microeconomic analysis of the costs of civil war, drug traffic, violence and crime. I am working currently in the case of Colombia. 

I will be available for interviews at the ASSA Meeting (Philadelphia, January 3 - 5, 2014) and at the RES Meeting (London, January 10 - 11, 2014).

  • Economics of crime and violence
  • Applied microeconomics
  • Public policy

Drugs, Guns and Early Motherhood in Colombia

This paper uses geographical and temporal variation in drug trafficking networks to instrument for the predominance of violent crime in different regions of Colombia and examines its effect on the prevalence of early motherhood. Using changes in the relative profits of different international cocaine markets we identify exogenous changes in violent crime rates at the municipality level; results from this first stage suggest that homicide rates increase in municipalities when the cocaine price in the international markets that they are strategically best placed to serve increases relative to those in other international markets. My second stage results suggest that a one standard deviation increase in the homicide rate induces an 2.8 p.p. increase in the probability of early motherhood

    JEL: D74, K42, J13, C41