Dr Paolo Agnolucci

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The UCL Energy Institute delivers world-leading learning, research and policy support on the challenges of climate change and energy security. Our approach blends expertise from across UCL, to make a truly interdisciplinary contribution to the development of a globally sustainable energy system. We are part of The Bartlett: UCL's global faculty of the built environment.



I am an academic with a strong interest in the application of quantitative methods in fields including energy and the environment. I have worked in the private sector and have acted as a consultant to several institutions and private clients, especially the European Commission and the Department for Energy and Climate Change.  I have a PhD in Economics from Birkbeck College and a MSc in Environmental and Natural Resource Economics from UCL.

Research Summary

  • Applied Econometrics and  Machine Learning
  • Energy Demand 
  • Impacts of Energy Systems
  • Programme Evaluation
  • Trade and Shipping

Research outputs

Volatility of Crude Oil Futures: a Comparison of Forecasts from GARCH and Implied Volatility Models 2009 Agnolucci P
The Energy Demand in the British and German Industrial Sectors: Heterogeneity and Common Factors 2009 Agnolucci P
The Effect of the German and British Environmental Taxation Reforms: A Simple Assessmen 2009 Agnolucci P
Different scenarios for achieving radical reduction in carbon emissions: A decomposition analysis 2009 Agnolucci P,Ekins P,Iacopini G,Anderson K,Bows A,Mander S,Shackley S
Factors influencing the likelihood of regulatory changes in renewable electricity policies 2008 Agnolucci P
Economics and market prospects of portable fuel cells☆ 2008 AGNOLUCCI P
The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios-Part I: Development of a backcasting methodology with stakeholder participation 2008 Mander SL,Bows A,Anderson KL,Shackley S,Agnolucci P,Ekins P
The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios-Part II: Scenarios for a 60% CO2 reduction in the UK 2008 Anderson KL,Mander SL,Bows A,Shackley S,Agnolucci P,Ekins P
Hydrogen infrastructure for the transport sector☆ 2007 Agnolucci P
Uncertainty and the Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios 2007 Mander S,Bows A,Anderson K,Shackley S,Agnolucci P,Ekins P
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Research activities

Analysis of data from heat pumps installed via the Renewable Heat Premium Payment Scheme
Sino-European Circular Economy and Resource Efficiency (SINCERE) project